Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 211
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN KENTUCKY
WESTERN MARYLAND
EASTERN OHIO
WESTERN AND CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA
SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA
WEST VIRGINIA
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM
UNTIL 1000 PM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
SEVERAL LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF
BRADFORD PENNSYLVANIA TO 60 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF JACKSON
KENTUCKY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 210...
DISCUSSION...AS SUB-CLOUD LAPSE RATES CONTINUE TO STEEPEN LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING SURFACE COLD POOLS WITH THUNDERSTORMS
NOW DEVELOPING ALONG AND WEST OF THE APPALACHIANS. AS THESE BEGIN
TO CONSOLIDATE AND SUPPORT UPSCALE CONVECTIVE GROWTH...A BELT OF
30-40 KT SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC FLOW NOSING
THROUGH THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY TOWARD THE LOWER GREAT LAKES MAY
ENHANCE STORM MOTION AND THE RISK FOR POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...KERR
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 211 SEVERE TSTM KY MD OH PA VA WV 221830Z - 230200Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20NW BFD/BRADFORD PA/ - 60ESE JKL/JACKSON KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /15SE JHW - 47NNW HMV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 42007754 37208109 37208363 42008026
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 211 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 211
VALID 230050Z - 230140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/23/13
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...PBZ...CLE...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 211
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-019-025-043-051-063-071-089-095-115-119-121-127-131-133-
153-159-175-193-195-235-230140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOYD BREATHITT
CARTER CLAY ELLIOTT
FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN
JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX
LAWRENCE LESLIE LETCHER
MAGOFFIN MARTIN MORGAN
PERRY PIKE WHITLEY
$$
MDC023-230140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARRETT
$$
OHC007-009-013-019-029-031-053-055-059-067-079-081-087-099-105-
111-115-119-121-127-133-151-155-157-163-167-230140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHTABULA ATHENS BELMONT
CARROLL COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON
GALLIA GEAUGA GUERNSEY
HARRISON JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAWRENCE MAHONING MEIGS
MONROE MORGAN MUSKINGUM
NOBLE PERRY PORTAGE
STARK TRUMBULL TUSCARAWAS
VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
PAC003-005-007-019-021-023-031-033-039-047-049-051-053-059-063-
065-073-083-085-105-111-117-121-123-125-129-230140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BUTLER CAMBRIA CAMERON
CLARION CLEARFIELD CRAWFORD
ELK ERIE FAYETTE
FOREST GREENE INDIANA
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MCKEAN
MERCER POTTER SOMERSET
TIOGA VENANGO WARREN
WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
VAC027-051-230140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON
$$
WVC001-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-029-033-035-039-041-
043-045-047-049-051-053-059-061-067-069-073-075-077-079-081-083-
085-087-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-230140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BOONE BRAXTON
BROOKE CABELL CALHOUN
CLAY DODDRIDGE FAYETTE
GILMER HANCOCK HARRISON
JACKSON KANAWHA LEWIS
LINCOLN LOGAN MCDOWELL
MARION MARSHALL MASON
MINGO MONONGALIA NICHOLAS
OHIO PLEASANTS POCAHONTAS
PRESTON PUTNAM RALEIGH
RANDOLPH RITCHIE ROANE
TAYLOR TUCKER TYLER
UPSHUR WAYNE WEBSTER
WETZEL WIRT WOOD
WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 211
VALID 222130Z - 222240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..05/22/13
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...PBZ...CLE...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 211
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-019-025-043-051-063-071-089-095-115-119-121-127-131-133-
153-159-175-193-195-235-222240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOYD BREATHITT
CARTER CLAY ELLIOTT
FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN
JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX
LAWRENCE LESLIE LETCHER
MAGOFFIN MARTIN MORGAN
PERRY PIKE WHITLEY
$$
MDC023-222240-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARRETT
$$
OHC007-009-013-019-029-031-053-055-059-067-079-081-087-099-105-
111-115-119-121-127-133-151-155-157-163-167-222240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHTABULA ATHENS BELMONT
CARROLL COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON
GALLIA GEAUGA GUERNSEY
HARRISON JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAWRENCE MAHONING MEIGS
MONROE MORGAN MUSKINGUM
NOBLE PERRY PORTAGE
STARK TRUMBULL TUSCARAWAS
VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
PAC003-005-007-019-021-023-031-033-039-047-049-051-053-059-063-
065-073-083-085-105-111-117-121-123-125-129-222240-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BUTLER CAMBRIA CAMERON
CLARION CLEARFIELD CRAWFORD
ELK ERIE FAYETTE
FOREST GREENE INDIANA
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MCKEAN
MERCER POTTER SOMERSET
TIOGA VENANGO WARREN
WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
VAC027-051-222240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON
$$
WVC001-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-029-033-035-039-041-
043-045-047-049-051-053-059-061-067-069-073-075-077-079-081-083-
085-087-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-222240-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BOONE BRAXTON
BROOKE CABELL CALHOUN
CLAY DODDRIDGE FAYETTE
GILMER HANCOCK HARRISON
JACKSON KANAWHA LEWIS
LINCOLN LOGAN MCDOWELL
MARION MARSHALL MASON
MINGO MONONGALIA NICHOLAS
OHIO PLEASANTS POCAHONTAS
PRESTON PUTNAM RALEIGH
RANDOLPH RITCHIE ROANE
TAYLOR TUCKER TYLER
UPSHUR WAYNE WEBSTER
WETZEL WIRT WOOD
WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 211
VALID 222030Z - 222140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..05/22/13
ATTN...WFO...JKL...RLX...PBZ...CLE...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 211
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-019-025-043-051-063-071-089-095-115-119-121-127-131-133-
153-159-175-193-195-235-222140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL BOYD BREATHITT
CARTER CLAY ELLIOTT
FLOYD GREENUP HARLAN
JOHNSON KNOTT KNOX
LAWRENCE LESLIE LETCHER
MAGOFFIN MARTIN MORGAN
PERRY PIKE WHITLEY
$$
MDC023-222140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARRETT
$$
OHC007-009-013-019-029-031-053-055-059-067-079-081-087-099-105-
111-115-119-121-127-133-151-155-157-163-167-222140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHTABULA ATHENS BELMONT
CARROLL COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON
GALLIA GEAUGA GUERNSEY
HARRISON JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAWRENCE MAHONING MEIGS
MONROE MORGAN MUSKINGUM
NOBLE PERRY PORTAGE
STARK TRUMBULL TUSCARAWAS
VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
PAC003-005-007-019-021-023-031-033-039-047-049-051-053-059-063-
065-073-083-085-105-111-117-121-123-125-129-222140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BUTLER CAMBRIA CAMERON
CLARION CLEARFIELD CRAWFORD
ELK ERIE FAYETTE
FOREST GREENE INDIANA
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MCKEAN
MERCER POTTER SOMERSET
TIOGA VENANGO WARREN
WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
VAC027-051-222140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN DICKENSON
$$
WVC001-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-029-033-035-039-041-
043-045-047-049-051-053-059-061-067-069-073-075-077-079-081-083-
085-087-091-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-222140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BOONE BRAXTON
BROOKE CABELL CALHOUN
CLAY DODDRIDGE FAYETTE
GILMER HANCOCK HARRISON
JACKSON KANAWHA LEWIS
LINCOLN LOGAN MCDOWELL
MARION MARSHALL MASON
MINGO MONONGALIA NICHOLAS
OHIO PLEASANTS POCAHONTAS
PRESTON PUTNAM RALEIGH
RANDOLPH RITCHIE ROANE
TAYLOR TUCKER TYLER
UPSHUR WAYNE WEBSTER
WETZEL WIRT WOOD
WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.