Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 313
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
340 PM CDT FRI JUN 14 2013
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EXTREME WESTERN IOWA
EASTERN NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 340 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SEVERAL VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
POSSIBLE
SEVERAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
NORFOLK NEBRASKA TO 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LINCOLN NEBRASKA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 312...
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS IN S CENTRAL NEB WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD
NEWD TOWARD NE NEB THIS AFTERNOON...WHERE ADDITIONAL SURFACE-BASED
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT. THE ENVIRONMENT
FROM THE TRIPLE POINT SEWD ACROSS ERN NEB IS CHARACTERIZED BY
BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS NEAR 70 F AND SURFACE TEMPERATURES
APPROACHING 90 F FROM THE SW...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION AND SUPPORT NEW STORM DEVELOPMENT.
MEANWHILE...THE OAX VWP SHOWS A RELATIVELY LARGE CLOCKWISE TURNING
HODOGRAPH...WITH SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS. GIVEN
EFFECTIVE SRH NEAR 300 M2/S2...MLCAPE OF 3000-4000 J/KG...AND MLLCL
HEIGHTS NEAR 1250 M...A FEW TORNADOES AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE INITIALLY MORE DISCRETE STORMS. LATER
THIS EVENING...SOME UPSCALE GROWTH IS EXPECTED INTO A SMALL
SEWD-MOVING MCS...WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR DAMAGING GUSTS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.
...THOMPSON
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 313 TORNADO IA NE 142040Z - 150300Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NNW OFK/NORFOLK NE/ - 25SE LNK/LINCOLN NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /43E ONL - 26NNW PWE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.
LAT...LON 42509636 40599509 40599776 42509909
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 313 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 313
VALID 150135Z - 150240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW LNK
TO 20 N LNK TO 25 ENE OLU TO 20 N OFK TO 10 ESE SUX.
..DIAL..06/15/13
ATTN...WFO...OAX...FSD...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 313
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-133-137-145-155-193-150240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
MONONA MONTGOMERY PAGE
POTTAWATTAMIE WOODBURY
$$
NEC021-025-039-053-055-109-131-153-155-173-177-179-150240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURT CASS CUMING
DODGE DOUGLAS LANCASTER
OTOE SARPY SAUNDERS
THURSTON WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 313
VALID 150035Z - 150140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1083
..DIAL..06/15/13
ATTN...WFO...OAX...FSD...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 313
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-133-137-145-155-193-150140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
MONONA MONTGOMERY PAGE
POTTAWATTAMIE WOODBURY
$$
NEC003-011-021-023-025-027-037-039-043-051-053-055-081-107-109-
119-121-125-131-139-141-143-153-155-159-167-173-177-179-185-
150140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOONE BURT
BUTLER CASS CEDAR
COLFAX CUMING DAKOTA
DIXON DODGE DOUGLAS
HAMILTON KNOX LANCASTER
MADISON MERRICK NANCE
OTOE PIERCE PLATTE
POLK SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD STANTON THURSTON
WASHINGTON WAYNE YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 313
VALID 142240Z - 142340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..06/14/13
ATTN...WFO...OAX...FSD...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 313
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-133-137-145-155-193-142340-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
MONONA MONTGOMERY PAGE
POTTAWATTAMIE WOODBURY
$$
NEC003-011-021-023-025-027-037-039-043-051-053-055-081-107-109-
119-121-125-131-139-141-143-153-155-159-167-173-177-179-185-
142340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOONE BURT
BUTLER CASS CEDAR
COLFAX CUMING DAKOTA
DIXON DODGE DOUGLAS
HAMILTON KNOX LANCASTER
MADISON MERRICK NANCE
OTOE PIERCE PLATTE
POLK SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD STANTON THURSTON
WASHINGTON WAYNE YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.