Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 214
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 PM CDT TUE JUN 3 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL MISSOURI
* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 1145 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST
OF KNOB NOSTER MISSOURI TO 60 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF JEFFERSON
CITY MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 210...WW 211...WW
212...WW 213...
DISCUSSION...BROKEN LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS WILL SAG ACROSS THE
WATCH AREA OVERNIGHT. THE GREATEST THREAT OVER THIS REGION WILL BE
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE STORMS...ALONG
WITH LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 29035.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 214 SEVERE TSTM MO 040445Z - 041000Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30NW SZL/KNOB NOSTER MO/ - 60ENE JEF/JEFFERSON CITY MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /40ESE MCI - 30W STL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
LAT...LON 39689394 39589112 38279112 38389394
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 214 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 214
VALID 040835Z - 040940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW SZL TO
50 S UIN.
..MEAD..06/04/14
ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 214
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC015-019-027-037-051-053-073-083-089-101-107-113-125-131-135-
139-141-151-159-195-219-040940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BOONE CALLAWAY
CASS COLE COOPER
GASCONADE HENRY HOWARD
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN
MARIES MILLER MONITEAU
MONTGOMERY MORGAN OSAGE
PETTIS SALINE WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 214
VALID 040640Z - 040740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..06/04/14
ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 214
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC007-015-019-027-033-037-041-051-053-073-083-089-101-107-113-
121-125-127-131-135-137-139-141-151-159-163-173-175-195-205-219-
040740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BENTON BOONE
CALLAWAY CARROLL CASS
CHARITON COLE COOPER
GASCONADE HENRY HOWARD
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN
MACON MARIES MARION
MILLER MONITEAU MONROE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN OSAGE
PETTIS PIKE RALLS
RANDOLPH SALINE SHELBY
WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 214
VALID 040540Z - 040640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MEAD..06/04/14
ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 214
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC007-015-019-027-033-037-041-051-053-073-083-089-101-107-113-
121-125-127-131-135-137-139-141-151-159-163-173-175-195-205-219-
040640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BENTON BOONE
CALLAWAY CARROLL CASS
CHARITON COLE COOPER
GASCONADE HENRY HOWARD
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LINCOLN
MACON MARIES MARION
MILLER MONITEAU MONROE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN OSAGE
PETTIS PIKE RALLS
RANDOLPH SALINE SHELBY
WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.