Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 326
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
700 PM EDT WED JUN 18 2014
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN INDIANA
EXTREME NORTHERN KENTUCKY
SOUTHERN OHIO
WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
EXTREME NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 700 PM
UNTIL 200 AM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS TO 75
MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST
OF CINCINNATI OHIO TO 55 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF FRANKLIN
PENNSYLVANIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 321...WW 322...WW
323...WW 324...WW 325...
DISCUSSION...MARGINALLY WELL-ORGANIZED BAND OF TSTMS WITH
MESOBETA-SCALE COLD POOLING SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS WW
AREA INTO FAVORABLE MOISTURE/THERMAL FIELDS WITH FORCED ASCENT ALONG
ASSOCIATED GUST FRONT. SOME INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION IS PSBL BEFORE
NOCTURNAL/DIABATIC COOLING SUBSTANTIALLY DESTABILIZES FOREGOING WARM
SECTOR. DAMAGING GUSTS AND OCNL LARGE HAIL ARE PRIMARY THREATS.
REF SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1069 FOR MORE INITIAL DETAILS.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 65
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 30030.
...EDWARDS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 326 SEVERE TSTM IN KY OH PA WV 182300Z - 190600Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
40WSW LUK/CINCINNATI OH/ - 55ESE FKL/FRANKLIN PA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM EITHER SIDE /21WSW CVG - 42WNW PSB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30030.
LAT...LON 39498538 41687919 40457859 38258481
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 326 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 326
VALID 190240Z - 190340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW UNI TO
15 S ZZV TO 15 ENE HLG TO 20 ESE DUJ.
..ROGERS..06/19/14
ATTN...WFO...ILN...RLX...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 326
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OHC009-013-079-105-111-115-121-163-167-190340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATHENS BELMONT JACKSON
MEIGS MONROE MORGAN
NOBLE VINTON WASHINGTON
$$
PAC051-059-063-125-129-190340-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE GREENE INDIANA
WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
WVC051-069-103-190340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MARSHALL OHIO WETZEL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 326
VALID 190120Z - 190240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NNE SDF
TO 35 SE DAY TO 20 S YNG TO 10 NNE FKL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1073
..ROGERS..06/19/14
ATTN...WFO...ILN...RLX...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 326
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC115-155-190240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
OHIO SWITZERLAND
$$
KYC015-023-037-041-077-081-117-135-161-187-191-201-190240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BRACKEN CAMPBELL
CARROLL GALLATIN GRANT
KENTON LEWIS MASON
OWEN PENDLETON ROBERTSON
$$
OHC001-009-013-015-019-025-027-029-031-045-047-059-067-071-073-
079-081-089-105-111-115-119-121-127-129-131-141-145-157-163-167-
190240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ATHENS BELMONT
BROWN CARROLL CLERMONT
CLINTON COLUMBIANA COSHOCTON
FAIRFIELD FAYETTE GUERNSEY
HARRISON HIGHLAND HOCKING
JACKSON JEFFERSON LICKING
MEIGS MONROE MORGAN
MUSKINGUM NOBLE PERRY
PICKAWAY PIKE ROSS
SCIOTO TUSCARAWAS VINTON
WASHINGTON
$$
PAC003-005-007-019-031-051-053-059-063-065-073-121-125-129-
190240-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BUTLER CLARION FAYETTE
FOREST GREENE INDIANA
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE VENANGO
WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
WVC009-029-051-069-103-190240-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKE HANCOCK MARSHALL
OHIO WETZEL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.