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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 45
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
430 PM EDT THU APR 9 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN MARYLAND PANHANDLE
EASTERN OHIO
WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 430 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55
STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST
OF WHEELING WEST VIRGINIA TO 20 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF LATROBE
PENNSYLVANIA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 39...WW 40...WW 41...WW
42...WW 43...WW 44...
DISCUSSION...CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOPED ALONG THE OH
RIVER HAS EVOLVED INTO AN MCS THAT IS TRACKING ENEWD AT ROUGHLY
40KT. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SPREAD INTO WESTERN PA AROUND 22Z.
DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT...ALTHOUGH ISOLATED
LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...DARROW
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 45 SEVERE TSTM MD OH PA WV 092030Z - 100200Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
25SSW HLG/WHEELING WV/ - 20ENE LBE/LATROBE PA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM EITHER SIDE /10S AIR - 11WNW JST/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 40618112 41157933 39637876 39088054
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 45 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 45
VALID 100025Z - 100140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE PKB
TO 20 SSE DUJ.
..PICCA..04/10/15
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 45
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC023-100140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARRETT
$$
WVC077-093-100140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PRESTON TUCKER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 45
VALID 092330Z - 100040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE PKB
TO 20 N MGW TO 15 WSW DUJ.
..PICCA..04/09/15
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 45
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC023-100040-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARRETT
$$
PAC005-019-031-051-059-063-065-129-100040-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BUTLER CLARION
FAYETTE GREENE INDIANA
JEFFERSON WESTMORELAND
$$
WVC049-061-077-093-103-100040-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MARION MONONGALIA PRESTON
TUCKER WETZEL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 45
VALID 092230Z - 092340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PICCA..04/09/15
ATTN...WFO...PBZ...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 45
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MDC023-092340-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARRETT
$$
OHC013-019-029-031-059-067-081-111-119-121-157-092340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELMONT CARROLL COLUMBIANA
COSHOCTON GUERNSEY HARRISON
JEFFERSON MONROE MUSKINGUM
NOBLE TUSCARAWAS
$$
PAC003-005-007-019-031-051-059-063-065-073-125-129-092340-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER
BUTLER CLARION FAYETTE
GREENE INDIANA JEFFERSON
LAWRENCE WASHINGTON WESTMORELAND
$$
WVC009-029-049-051-061-069-077-093-103-092340-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROOKE HANCOCK MARION
MARSHALL MONONGALIA OHIO
PRESTON TUCKER WETZEL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.