Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 292
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
305 PM EDT FRI JUN 12 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW YORK
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 305 PM UNTIL
1100 PM EDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS NOW FORMING OVER THE FINGER LAKES
REGION AND MOHAWK VALLEY EXPECTED TO MOVE / DEVELOP EAST INTO THE
HUDSON VALLEY THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT...WHILE A SEPARATE LINE OF
STORMS DEVELOPS AND MOVES EAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WESTERN NEW
YORK. SOME POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR A COUPLE TORNADOES...IN ADDITION
TO DAMAGING WIND AND HAIL.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
BINGHAMTON NEW YORK TO 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF GLENS FALLS NEW
YORK. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 290...WW 291...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.
...CORFIDI
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 292 TORNADO NY 121905Z - 130300Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15SSW BGM/BINGHAMTON NY/ - 50NW GFL/GLENS FALLS NY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /35W HNK - 62SW PLB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.
LAT...LON 41977794 43817623 43817241 41977423
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 292 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 292
VALID 130230Z - 130300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N MSV TO
40 NNE MSV TO 30 S ALB.
WW 292 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 130300Z. REMAINING STORMS IN
THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF WW 292 WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS THE
ENVIRONMENT OVER SOUTHEAST NY AND SOUTHWEST NEW ENGLAND STABILIZES.
..PETERS..06/13/15
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BGM...BUF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MAC003-130300-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE
$$
NYC021-027-039-111-130300-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA DUTCHESS GREENE
ULSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 292
VALID 130150Z - 130240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE BGM
TO 20 SSW ALB TO 5 W ALB TO 30 ENE ALB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 999.
..PETERS..06/13/15
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BGM...BUF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MAC003-130240-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE
$$
NYC001-021-027-039-083-111-130240-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY COLUMBIA DUTCHESS
GREENE RENSSELAER ULSTER
$$
VTC003-025-130240-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNINGTON WINDHAM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 292
VALID 130055Z - 130140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE ELM
TO 20 NNE BGM TO 45 E BGM TO 50 WSW ALB TO 40 WNW ALB TO 30 W GFL
TO 15 S RUT.
..PETERS..06/13/15
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BGM...BUF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MAC003-130140-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE
$$
NYC001-021-027-035-039-057-083-091-093-095-111-115-130140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY COLUMBIA DUTCHESS
FULTON GREENE MONTGOMERY
RENSSELAER SARATOGA SCHENECTADY
SCHOHARIE ULSTER WASHINGTON
$$
VTC003-025-130140-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNINGTON WINDHAM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 292
VALID 130000Z - 130040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE ELM TO
15 SE UCA TO 40 S SLK.
..PETERS..06/12/15
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BGM...BUF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MAC003-130040-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE
$$
NYC001-021-027-035-039-041-043-057-083-091-093-095-111-113-115-
130040-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY COLUMBIA DUTCHESS
FULTON GREENE HAMILTON
HERKIMER MONTGOMERY RENSSELAER
SARATOGA SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE
ULSTER WARREN WASHINGTON
$$
VTC003-025-130040-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNINGTON WINDHAM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 292
VALID 122300Z - 130040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W ELM TO
25 WSW SYR TO 45 SW SLK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 992.
..PETERS..06/12/15
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BGM...BUF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC001-007-015-017-021-023-025-027-035-039-041-043-053-057-065-
067-077-083-091-093-095-097-099-101-107-109-111-113-115-123-
130040-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY BROOME CHEMUNG
CHENANGO COLUMBIA CORTLAND
DELAWARE DUTCHESS FULTON
GREENE HAMILTON HERKIMER
MADISON MONTGOMERY ONEIDA
ONONDAGA OTSEGO RENSSELAER
SARATOGA SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE
SCHUYLER SENECA STEUBEN
TIOGA TOMPKINS ULSTER
WARREN WASHINGTON YATES
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 292
VALID 122145Z - 122240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..06/12/15
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BGM...BUF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC001-007-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-035-039-041-043-051-053-
057-065-067-069-077-083-091-093-095-097-099-101-107-109-111-113-
115-123-122240-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY BROOME CAYUGA
CHEMUNG CHENANGO COLUMBIA
CORTLAND DELAWARE DUTCHESS
FULTON GREENE HAMILTON
HERKIMER LIVINGSTON MADISON
MONTGOMERY ONEIDA ONONDAGA
ONTARIO OTSEGO RENSSELAER
SARATOGA SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE
SCHUYLER SENECA STEUBEN
TIOGA TOMPKINS ULSTER
WARREN WASHINGTON YATES
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 292
VALID 122030Z - 122140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..06/12/15
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BGM...BUF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 292
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NYC001-007-011-015-017-021-023-025-027-035-039-041-043-051-053-
057-065-067-069-077-083-091-093-095-097-099-101-107-109-111-113-
115-123-122140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY BROOME CAYUGA
CHEMUNG CHENANGO COLUMBIA
CORTLAND DELAWARE DUTCHESS
FULTON GREENE HAMILTON
HERKIMER LIVINGSTON MADISON
MONTGOMERY ONEIDA ONONDAGA
ONTARIO OTSEGO RENSSELAER
SARATOGA SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE
SCHUYLER SENECA STEUBEN
TIOGA TOMPKINS ULSTER
WARREN WASHINGTON YATES
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.