Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 191
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
220 PM MDT SUN MAY 22 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST CENTRAL NEBRASKA
CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 220 PM UNTIL
900 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING OVER THE
WATCH AREA...AND WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK OF LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS ALOFT ARE
SUFFICIENT TO POSE SOME RISK OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO AS WELL.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
PIERRE SOUTH DAKOTA TO 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NORTH PLATTE
NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 190...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
...HART
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 191 TORNADO NE SD 222020Z - 230300Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35WNW PIR/PIERRE SD/ - 40SW LBF/NORTH PLATTE NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /34WNW PIR - 34SW LBF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
LAT...LON 44560001 40720036 40720208 44560184
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 191 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 191
VALID 230140Z - 230240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..05/23/16
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 191
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-017-031-041-049-069-075-091-101-103-111-113-117-161-
171-230240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BROWN
CHERRY CUSTER DEUEL
GARDEN GRANT HOOKER
KEITH KEYA PAHA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCPHERSON SHERIDAN
THOMAS
$$
SDC007-055-065-071-075-085-095-117-119-121-123-230240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT HAAKON HUGHES
JACKSON JONES LYMAN
MELLETTE STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 191
VALID 230125Z - 230240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..05/23/16
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 191
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-017-031-041-049-069-075-091-101-103-111-113-117-161-
171-230240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BROWN
CHERRY CUSTER DEUEL
GARDEN GRANT HOOKER
KEITH KEYA PAHA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCPHERSON SHERIDAN
THOMAS
$$
SDC007-055-065-071-075-085-095-117-119-121-123-230240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT HAAKON HUGHES
JACKSON JONES LYMAN
MELLETTE STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 191
VALID 230040Z - 230140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..05/23/16
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 191
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-017-031-041-049-069-075-091-101-103-111-113-117-161-
171-230140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BROWN
CHERRY CUSTER DEUEL
GARDEN GRANT HOOKER
KEITH KEYA PAHA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCPHERSON SHERIDAN
THOMAS
$$
SDC007-055-065-071-075-085-095-117-119-121-123-230140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT HAAKON HUGHES
JACKSON JONES LYMAN
MELLETTE STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 191
VALID 230035Z - 230140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..05/23/16
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 191
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-009-017-031-041-049-069-075-091-101-103-111-113-117-161-
171-230140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR BLAINE BROWN
CHERRY CUSTER DEUEL
GARDEN GRANT HOOKER
KEITH KEYA PAHA LINCOLN
LOGAN MCPHERSON SHERIDAN
THOMAS
$$
SDC007-055-065-071-075-085-095-117-119-121-123-230140-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT HAAKON HUGHES
JACKSON JONES LYMAN
MELLETTE STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 191
VALID 222345Z - 230040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 681.
..PETERS..05/22/16
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 191
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-031-049-069-075-091-101-111-113-117-161-171-230040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR CHERRY DEUEL
GARDEN GRANT HOOKER
KEITH LINCOLN LOGAN
MCPHERSON SHERIDAN THOMAS
$$
SDC007-055-065-071-075-085-095-117-119-121-123-230040-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT HAAKON HUGHES
JACKSON JONES LYMAN
MELLETTE STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 191
VALID 222245Z - 222340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..05/22/16
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 191
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-031-049-069-075-091-101-111-113-117-161-171-222340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR CHERRY DEUEL
GARDEN GRANT HOOKER
KEITH LINCOLN LOGAN
MCPHERSON SHERIDAN THOMAS
$$
SDC007-055-065-071-075-085-095-117-119-121-123-222340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT HAAKON HUGHES
JACKSON JONES LYMAN
MELLETTE STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 191
VALID 222140Z - 222240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..05/22/16
ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 191
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC005-031-049-069-075-091-101-111-113-117-161-171-222240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARTHUR CHERRY DEUEL
GARDEN GRANT HOOKER
KEITH LINCOLN LOGAN
MCPHERSON SHERIDAN THOMAS
$$
SDC007-055-065-071-075-085-095-117-119-121-123-222240-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNETT HAAKON HUGHES
JACKSON JONES LYMAN
MELLETTE STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
