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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 193
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
620 PM CDT SUN MAY 22 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN KANSAS
SOUTHWESTERN NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT FROM 620 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE INTO
THIS AREA FROM THE SOUTH...AND TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
RETREATING DRYLINE...THROUGH THE EVENING. A FEW-HOUR WINDOW EXISTS
FOR SEVERE HAIL AND WINDS FROM THE MOST-INTENSE CELLS...AS THE MAIN
THREATS...THOUGH A TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. SEE SPC MESOSCALE
DISCUSSION 679 FOR INITIAL METEOROLOGICAL REASONING.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 90 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF HILL CITY KANSAS TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
MCCOOK NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 190...WW 191...WW 192...
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24020.
...EDWARDS
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 193 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 222320Z - 230500Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
90SSW HLC/HILL CITY KS/ - 35NNW MCK/MCCOOK NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /20NE GCK - 28S LBF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24020.
LAT...LON 38160156 40650198 40659969 38169936
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 193 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 193
VALID 230425Z - 230500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNE DDC
TO 40 SSW HLC TO 25 SE HLC.
WW 193 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 230500Z.
..DIAL..05/23/16
ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...LBF...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 193
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC195-230500-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
TREGO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 193
VALID 230345Z - 230440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE ITR
TO 20 SSE HLC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 689
..DIAL..05/23/16
ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...LBF...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 193
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC063-071-101-109-135-171-195-203-230440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GOVE GREELEY LANE
LOGAN NESS SCOTT
TREGO WICHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 193
VALID 230050Z - 230140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..05/23/16
ATTN...WFO...GLD...DDC...LBF...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 193
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC023-039-057-063-065-071-083-101-109-135-137-153-171-179-181-
193-195-199-203-230140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEYENNE DECATUR FORD
GOVE GRAHAM GREELEY
HODGEMAN LANE LOGAN
NESS NORTON RAWLINS
SCOTT SHERIDAN SHERMAN
THOMAS TREGO WALLACE
WICHITA
$$
NEC029-047-057-063-065-073-085-087-135-145-230140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHASE DAWSON DUNDY
FRONTIER FURNAS GOSPER
HAYES HITCHCOCK PERKINS
RED WILLOW
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
