Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 11
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
405 PM CDT Sun Mar 18 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-central and East Texas
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...At least isolated severe storms are expected to increase
initially across central Texas in the general vicinity of Interstate
35 this afternoon, and subsequently spread eastward toward East
Texas by evening. Large hail should be the most common hazard, but
locally damaging winds and/or a tornado cannot be ruled out,
particularly as low-level shear increases this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Fort
Worth TX to 25 miles southeast of Huntsville TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26025.
...Guyer
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 11
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
405 PM CDT Sun Mar 18 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-central and East Texas
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 405 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...At least isolated severe storms are expected to increase
initially across central Texas in the general vicinity of Interstate
35 this afternoon, and subsequently spread eastward toward East
Texas by evening. Large hail should be the most common hazard, but
locally damaging winds and/or a tornado cannot be ruled out,
particularly as low-level shear increases this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Fort
Worth TX to 25 miles southeast of Huntsville TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 11 SEVERE TSTM TX 182105Z - 190400Z
AXIS..105 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35N FTW/FORT WORTH TX/ - 25SE UTS/HUNTSVILLE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 90NM E/W /32NNW TTT - 32NNE IAH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.
LAT...LON 33319555 30459341 30459694 33319919
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 11 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 11
VALID 190050Z - 190140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW VCT
TO 20 W CLL TO 35 NNW UTS TO 35 NNE GGG.
..GLEASON..03/19/18
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...LCH...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-015-041-051-073-089-149-185-203-225-239-241-285-287-313-
339-347-351-365-373-401-403-405-407-419-455-457-471-473-477-481-
190140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA AUSTIN BRAZOS
BURLESON CHEROKEE COLORADO
FAYETTE GRIMES HARRISON
HOUSTON JACKSON JASPER
LAVACA LEE MADISON
MONTGOMERY NACOGDOCHES NEWTON
PANOLA POLK RUSK
SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO
SHELBY TRINITY TYLER
WALKER WALLER WASHINGTON
WHARTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 11
VALID 182355Z - 190040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW TPL TO
25 SSW DAL TO 40 S PRX.
..DIAL..03/18/18
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...LCH...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-015-021-027-041-051-055-073-089-139-145-149-161-177-
183-185-187-203-213-217-225-239-241-257-285-287-289-293-309-313-
331-339-347-349-351-365-373-379-395-401-403-405-407-419-423-455-
457-459-467-471-473-477-481-491-493-499-190040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA AUSTIN
BASTROP BELL BRAZOS
BURLESON CALDWELL CHEROKEE
COLORADO ELLIS FALLS
FAYETTE FREESTONE GONZALES
GREGG GRIMES GUADALUPE
HARRISON HENDERSON HILL
HOUSTON JACKSON JASPER
KAUFMAN LAVACA LEE
LEON LIMESTONE MCLENNAN
MADISON MILAM MONTGOMERY
NACOGDOCHES NAVARRO NEWTON
PANOLA POLK RAINS
ROBERTSON RUSK SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO SHELBY
SMITH TRINITY TYLER
UPSHUR VAN ZANDT WALKER
WALLER WASHINGTON WHARTON
WILLIAMSON WILSON WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 11
VALID 182240Z - 182340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 135
..DIAL..03/18/18
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...HGX...LCH...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 11
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-027-035-041-051-073-085-099-113-121-139-143-145-161-
183-185-193-203-213-217-221-225-231-237-241-251-257-287-289-293-
309-313-331-347-349-351-363-365-367-373-379-395-397-401-403-405-
407-419-423-425-439-455-457-459-467-471-491-497-499-182340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BOSQUE BRAZOS BURLESON
CHEROKEE COLLIN CORYELL
DALLAS DENTON ELLIS
ERATH FALLS FREESTONE
GREGG GRIMES HAMILTON
HARRISON HENDERSON HILL
HOOD HOUSTON HUNT
JACK JASPER JOHNSON
KAUFMAN LEE LEON
LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON
MILAM NACOGDOCHES NAVARRO
NEWTON PALO PINTO PANOLA
PARKER POLK RAINS
ROBERTSON ROCKWALL RUSK
SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO
SHELBY SMITH SOMERVELL
TARRANT TRINITY TYLER
UPSHUR VAN ZANDT WALKER
WILLIAMSON WISE WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.