Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 207
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM CDT Sat Jun 23 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Parts of central and western Oklahoma
Extreme northwest Texas
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected in the next couple of
hours along a stalled boundary near I-40, from the southern Oklahoma
City metro area westward. The storm environment favors supercells
capable of producing very large hail and damaging winds. A modest
increase in low-level shear this evening could also support the
threat for an isolated tornado, though this threat is secondary to
the hail and wind. Some clustering of storms and southward
movement/development will be possible later this evening across the
southern portions of the watch area.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west southwest
of Clinton OK to 50 miles north northeast of Ardmore OK. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 205...WW 206...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
30015.
...Thompson
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 207
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM CDT Sat Jun 23 2018
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Parts of central and western Oklahoma
Extreme northwest Texas
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is expected in the next couple of
hours along a stalled boundary near I-40, from the southern Oklahoma
City metro area westward. The storm environment favors supercells
capable of producing very large hail and damaging winds. A modest
increase in low-level shear this evening could also support the
threat for an isolated tornado, though this threat is secondary to
the hail and wind. Some clustering of storms and southward
movement/development will be possible later this evening across the
southern portions of the watch area.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west southwest
of Clinton OK to 50 miles north northeast of Ardmore OK. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 205...WW 206...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
30015.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 207 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 232055Z - 240300Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30WSW CSM/CLINTON OK/ - 50NNE ADM/ARDMORE OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /56NNE CDS - 45W MLC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30015.
LAT...LON 35889969 35689668 34229668 34439969
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 207 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 207
VALID 240145Z - 240240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE CSM TO
25 NNW CHK TO 35 SE OKC TO 45 NNE ADM.
..PETERS..06/24/18
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 207
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-015-019-031-033-039-049-051-055-057-065-067-069-075-087-
099-123-129-137-141-149-240240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM CADDO CARTER
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KIOWA MCCLAIN
MURRAY PONTOTOC ROGER MILLS
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC197-487-240240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDEMAN WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 207
VALID 240100Z - 240140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE CSM TO
25 NNW CHK TO 35 SE OKC TO 50 W MLC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 846.
..PETERS..06/24/18
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 207
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-015-019-031-033-039-049-051-055-057-065-067-069-075-087-
099-123-129-137-141-149-240140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM CADDO CARTER
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KIOWA MCCLAIN
MURRAY PONTOTOC ROGER MILLS
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC197-487-240140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDEMAN WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 207
VALID 232345Z - 240040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..06/23/18
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 207
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-049-051-055-057-065-067-
069-073-075-081-083-087-099-109-123-125-129-133-137-141-149-
240040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN
MURRAY OKLAHOMA PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC197-487-240040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDEMAN WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 207
VALID 232235Z - 232340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..PETERS..06/23/18
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 207
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-011-015-017-019-027-031-033-039-049-051-055-057-065-067-
069-073-075-081-083-087-099-109-123-125-129-133-137-141-149-
232340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM BLAINE CADDO
CANADIAN CARTER CLEVELAND
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KINGFISHER KIOWA
LINCOLN LOGAN MCCLAIN
MURRAY OKLAHOMA PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE ROGER MILLS SEMINOLE
STEPHENS TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC197-487-232340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDEMAN WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.