Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 176
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
735 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Kansas
* Effective this Friday evening from 735 PM until 1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Isolated supercells have developed near the dryline and
these storms may persist as they generally move northeastward this
evening across southwest/west-central Kansas. Large hail is the most
probable risk, but there may also be some tornado risk as the
low-level jet increases this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles west northwest
of Russell KS to 50 miles south of Dodge City KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 171...WW 172...WW
173...WW 174...WW 175...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
23030.
...Guyer
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 176
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
735 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western Kansas
* Effective this Friday evening from 735 PM until 1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Isolated supercells have developed near the dryline and
these storms may persist as they generally move northeastward this
evening across southwest/west-central Kansas. Large hail is the most
probable risk, but there may also be some tornado risk as the
low-level jet increases this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles west northwest
of Russell KS to 50 miles south of Dodge City KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 171...WW 172...WW
173...WW 174...WW 175...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
23030.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 176 SEVERE TSTM KS 180035Z - 180400Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30WNW RSL/RUSSELL KS/ - 50S DDC/DODGE CITY KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM E/W /44ESE HLC - 43N MMB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
LAT...LON 39029858 37049923 37040069 39020008
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 176 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
