Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 177
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
855 PM CDT Fri May 17 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western Kansas
* Effective this Friday night from 855 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Supercells will continue to pose a large hail and tornado
risk this evening mainly across southwest/west-central Kansas.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 35 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles northwest of Russell KS to 50
miles south of Dodge City KS. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 172...WW 173...WW
174...WW 175...WW 176...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 22025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 177 TORNADO KS 180155Z - 180500Z
AXIS..35 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25NW RSL/RUSSELL KS/ - 50S DDC/DODGE CITY KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 30NM E/W /51E HLC - 43N MMB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22025.
LAT...LON 39119850 37049933 37040059 39119980
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 177 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 177
VALID 180350Z - 180440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S DDC TO
40 S HLC.
..GOSS..05/18/19
ATTN...WFO...ICT...DDC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 177
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC009-033-047-051-053-097-105-113-145-159-165-167-169-185-
180440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTON COMANCHE EDWARDS
ELLIS ELLSWORTH KIOWA
LINCOLN MCPHERSON PAWNEE
RICE RUSH RUSSELL
SALINE STAFFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
