Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 254
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 PM CDT Sun May 26 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northeastern New Mexico
The western Oklahoma Panhandle
The northwestern Texas Panhandle
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Some elevated convection is forming within a band of thick
cloud cover across the Texas Panhandle, but the primary
surface-based development is expected this afternoon along the
dryline in northeastern New Mexico. The storm environment will
favor supercells with very large hail, and low-level shear will
increase some this afternoon in support of a tornado threat. Some
upscale growth into a more north-south line is possible later this
evening, with an accompanying wind damage threat.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 55 miles northeast of Clayton NM to 35
miles south southeast of Tucumcari NM. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 252...WW 253...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Thompson
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 254
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 PM CDT Sun May 26 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northeastern New Mexico
The western Oklahoma Panhandle
The northwestern Texas Panhandle
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Some elevated convection is forming within a band of thick
cloud cover across the Texas Panhandle, but the primary
surface-based development is expected this afternoon along the
dryline in northeastern New Mexico. The storm environment will
favor supercells with very large hail, and low-level shear will
increase some this afternoon in support of a tornado threat. Some
upscale growth into a more north-south line is possible later this
evening, with an accompanying wind damage threat.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 55 miles northeast of Clayton NM to 35
miles south southeast of Tucumcari NM. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 252...WW 253...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 254 TORNADO NM OK TX 261930Z - 270300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55NE CAO/CLAYTON NM/ - 35SSE TCC/TUCUMCARI NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /57ESE TBE - 29WNW TXO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
LAT...LON 37000136 34700230 34700441 37000352
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 254 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 254
VALID 270245Z - 270300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW AMA TO
25 WSW AMA TO 10 SSW GUY TO 15 ESE EHA.
WW 254 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 270300Z.
..SMITH..05/27/19
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 254
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC139-270300-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
TEXAS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 254
VALID 270105Z - 270200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE CVS TO
15 SSW DHT TO 20 S SPD.
..SMITH..05/27/19
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 254
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC025-139-270200-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC111-117-205-341-359-421-270200-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM DEAF SMITH HARTLEY
MOORE OLDHAM SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 254
VALID 270030Z - 270100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW CVS
TO 30 SW SPD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 823
..SMITH..05/27/19
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 254
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC037-270100-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
QUAY
$$
OKC025-139-270100-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC111-117-205-341-359-421-270100-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM DEAF SMITH HARTLEY
MOORE OLDHAM SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 254
VALID 262315Z - 270000Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 821
..SMITH..05/26/19
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 254
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC019-021-037-047-059-270000-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GUADALUPE HARDING QUAY
SAN MIGUEL UNION
$$
OKC025-139-270000-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC111-117-205-341-359-421-270000-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM DEAF SMITH HARTLEY
MOORE OLDHAM SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 254
VALID 262015Z - 262140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..05/26/19
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 254
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC019-021-037-047-059-262140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GUADALUPE HARDING QUAY
SAN MIGUEL UNION
$$
OKC025-139-262140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC111-117-205-341-359-421-262140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DALLAM DEAF SMITH HARTLEY
MOORE OLDHAM SHERMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (80%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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