Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 354
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
730 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Oklahoma Panhandle
Texas Panhandle and South Plains
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 730 PM
until 300 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered supercells will drift east/southeastward
across the region this evening, initially across western portions of
the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles with large hail as the primary
risk. As the evening wears on, storms may tend to cluster and
accelerate somewhat with an increased damaging wind threat as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northwest of
Guymon OK to 20 miles west southwest of Lubbock TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 353...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29020.
...Guyer
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 354
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
730 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Oklahoma Panhandle
Texas Panhandle and South Plains
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 730 PM
until 300 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered supercells will drift east/southeastward
across the region this evening, initially across western portions of
the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles with large hail as the primary
risk. As the evening wears on, storms may tend to cluster and
accelerate somewhat with an increased damaging wind threat as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles northwest of
Guymon OK to 20 miles west southwest of Lubbock TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 353...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29020.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 354 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 140030Z - 140800Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30NW GUY/GUYMON OK/ - 20WSW LBB/LUBBOCK TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /44W LBL - 14SW LBB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29020.
LAT...LON 36970080 33540109 33540318 36970297
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 354 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 354
VALID 140440Z - 140540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W CDS TO
25 WNW PVW TO 45 WNW PVW TO 50 ESE TCC TO 50 E TCC TO 10 WNW BGD
TO 45 SSE LBL.
..LEITMAN..06/14/19
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 354
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-045-065-069-117-233-359-375-381-437-140540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BRISCOE CARSON
CASTRO DEAF SMITH HUTCHINSON
OLDHAM POTTER RANDALL
SWISHER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 354
VALID 140330Z - 140440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW CAO
TO 20 E LBL.
..LEITMAN..06/14/19
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 354
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC139-140440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
TEXAS
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-111-117-153-189-195-205-219-233-279-
303-341-359-369-375-381-421-437-140440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN
DALLAM DEAF SMITH FLOYD
HALE HANSFORD HARTLEY
HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON LAMB
LUBBOCK MOORE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
SHERMAN SWISHER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 354
VALID 140250Z - 140340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1058
..ELLIOTT..06/14/19
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 354
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC025-139-140340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-111-117-153-189-195-205-219-233-279-
303-341-359-369-375-381-421-437-140340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN
DALLAM DEAF SMITH FLOYD
HALE HANSFORD HARTLEY
HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON LAMB
LUBBOCK MOORE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
SHERMAN SWISHER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 354
VALID 140135Z - 140240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..ELLIOTT..06/14/19
ATTN...WFO...AMA...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 354
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC025-139-140240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CIMARRON TEXAS
$$
TXC011-017-045-065-069-079-111-117-153-189-195-205-219-233-279-
303-341-359-369-375-381-421-437-140240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BRISCOE
CARSON CASTRO COCHRAN
DALLAM DEAF SMITH FLOYD
HALE HANSFORD HARTLEY
HOCKLEY HUTCHINSON LAMB
LUBBOCK MOORE OLDHAM
PARMER POTTER RANDALL
SHERMAN SWISHER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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