Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 364
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
900 PM CDT Sat Jun 15 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western and central Oklahoma
Western North Texas
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 900 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds and scattered significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
A couple tornadoes possible
SUMMARY...Potentially significant and widespread severe storms
capable of wind damage are expected to continue eastward and impact
a considerable portion of western into central Oklahoma as well as
western north Texas this evening into the overnight. There is high
confidence in widespread damaging winds along with isolated large
hail and possibly some tornado risk as these storms move/accelerate
east-northeastward.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west northwest
of Altus OK to 25 miles south southeast of Chandler OK. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 359...WW 360...WW
361...WW 362...WW 363...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 650. Mean storm motion vector
26035.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 364 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 160200Z - 160900Z
AXIS..105 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
40WNW LTS/ALTUS OK/ - 25SSE CQB/CHANDLER OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 90NM N/S /35NNE CDS - 47E OKC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 650. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
LAT...LON 36389991 36909665 33869665 33349991
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 364 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 364
VALID 160750Z - 160840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW GYI
TO 45 NNE ADM TO 35 SSE CQB.
..DIAL..06/16/19
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 364
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-160840-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 364
VALID 160630Z - 160740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE SPS
TO 30 NE ADM.
..EDWARDS..06/16/19
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 364
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-029-063-069-085-095-123-160740-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN COAL
HUGHES JOHNSTON LOVE
MARSHALL PONTOTOC
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 364
VALID 160540Z - 160640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW SPS TO
25 SE FSI TO 30 NNW ADM TO 25 SW CQB TO 20 SE END TO 15 SSE AVK.
..DIAL..06/16/19
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 364
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-005-013-019-029-047-053-063-067-069-071-081-085-095-099-
103-119-123-125-133-160640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA ATOKA BRYAN
CARTER COAL GARFIELD
GRANT HUGHES JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KAY LINCOLN
LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY
NOBLE PAYNE PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
$$
TXC009-077-160640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER CLAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 364
VALID 160350Z - 160420Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSE CDS
TO 5 W FSI TO 50 SW END TO 75 NNW CSM.
..SMITH..06/16/19
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 364
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-005-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-045-047-049-051-
053-063-067-069-071-073-081-083-085-087-093-095-099-103-109-119-
123-125-133-137-141-151-153-160420-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA ATOKA BLAINE
BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COAL
COMANCHE COTTON ELLIS
GARFIELD GARVIN GRADY
GRANT HUGHES JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KAY KINGFISHER
LINCOLN LOGAN LOVE
MCCLAIN MAJOR MARSHALL
MURRAY NOBLE OKLAHOMA
PAYNE PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN
WOODS WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-077-155-275-485-487-160420-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
FOARD KNOX WICHITA
WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 364
VALID 160300Z - 160440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE CDS
TO 15 SSW LTS TO 10 WSW CSM TO 40 NW CSM TO 70 NW CSM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1082
..KARSTENS..06/16/19
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 364
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC003-005-011-013-015-017-019-027-029-031-033-039-043-045-047-
049-051-053-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-081-083-085-087-093-095-
099-103-109-119-123-125-133-137-141-149-151-153-160440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA ATOKA BLAINE
BRYAN CADDO CANADIAN
CARTER CLEVELAND COAL
COMANCHE COTTON CUSTER
DEWEY ELLIS GARFIELD
GARVIN GRADY GRANT
HUGHES JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KAY KINGFISHER
KIOWA LINCOLN LOGAN
LOVE MCCLAIN MAJOR
MARSHALL MURRAY NOBLE
OKLAHOMA PAYNE PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE STEPHENS
TILLMAN WASHITA WOODS
WOODWARD
$$
TXC009-023-077-155-197-275-485-487-160440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CLAY
FOARD HARDEMAN KNOX
WICHITA WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
High (90%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.