Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 418
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
320 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southern Indiana
Western and Central Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northwest Tennessee
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Multiple lines of intense thunderstorms will track
southeastward across the watch area this afternoon and evening,
posing a risk of damaging wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles southwest of
Poplar Bluff MO to 40 miles northeast of Bowling Green KY. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 415...WW 416...WW 417...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29035.
...Hart
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 418
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
320 PM CDT Fri Jun 21 2019
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southern Indiana
Western and Central Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northwest Tennessee
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 320 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Multiple lines of intense thunderstorms will track
southeastward across the watch area this afternoon and evening,
posing a risk of damaging wind gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles southwest of
Poplar Bluff MO to 40 miles northeast of Bowling Green KY. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 415...WW 416...WW 417...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 418 SEVERE TSTM AR IL IN KY MO TN 212020Z - 220300Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15SW POF/POPLAR BLUFF MO/ - 40NE BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /33NNE ARG - 37NE BWG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
LAT...LON 37409066 38168590 36588590 35819066
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 418 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 418
VALID 220210Z - 220340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNW CSV
TO 55 NNW CSV TO 55 E BWG TO 35 SW LEX.
..LEITMAN..06/22/19
ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...LMK...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 418
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-045-053-207-220340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CASEY CLINTON
RUSSELL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 418
VALID 220025Z - 220140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE CKV TO
25 ENE CKV TO 20 WNW BWG TO 30 NNE BWG TO 45 S SDF TO 30 S SDF TO
25 ENE SDF.
..LEITMAN..06/22/19
ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...LMK...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 418
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-009-045-053-057-061-087-099-123-141-155-169-171-179-
207-213-217-227-220140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN BARREN
CASEY CLINTON CUMBERLAND
EDMONSON GREEN HART
LARUE LOGAN MARION
METCALFE MONROE NELSON
RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR
WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 418
VALID 212335Z - 220040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W SDF TO
40 ENE OWB TO 15 E OWB TO 30 SW OWB TO 35 WNW HOP TO 40 SSE PAH
TO 50 SSE PAH.
..LEITMAN..06/21/19
ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...LMK...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 418
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC061-220040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARRISON
$$
KYC001-003-009-027-029-031-033-035-045-047-053-057-059-061-085-
087-093-099-107-111-123-141-149-155-163-169-171-177-179-183-207-
213-217-219-221-227-220040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN BARREN
BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT BUTLER
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CASEY
CHRISTIAN CLINTON CUMBERLAND
DAVIESS EDMONSON GRAYSON
GREEN HARDIN HART
HOPKINS JEFFERSON LARUE
LOGAN MCLEAN MARION
MEADE METCALFE MONROE
MUHLENBERG NELSON OHIO
RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR
TODD TRIGG WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 418
VALID 212250Z - 212340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE ARG
TO 40 E POF TO 40 SSE CGI TO 20 SW PAH TO 20 NNE PAH TO 35 SSE
MVN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1180.
..LEITMAN..06/21/19
ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...LMK...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 418
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-212340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY
$$
ILC069-127-212340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN MASSAC
$$
INC025-037-061-123-147-212340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD DUBOIS HARRISON
PERRY SPENCER
$$
KYC001-003-009-027-029-031-033-035-039-045-047-053-055-057-059-
061-075-083-085-087-091-093-099-101-105-107-111-123-139-141-143-
145-149-155-157-163-169-171-177-179-183-207-213-217-219-221-225-
227-233-212340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN BARREN
BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT BUTLER
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE
CASEY CHRISTIAN CLINTON
CRITTENDEN CUMBERLAND DAVIESS
EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES
GRAYSON GREEN HANCOCK
HARDIN HART HENDERSON
HICKMAN HOPKINS JEFFERSON
LARUE LIVINGSTON LOGAN
LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN
MARION MARSHALL MEADE
METCALFE MONROE MUHLENBERG
NELSON OHIO RUSSELL
SIMPSON TAYLOR TODD
TRIGG UNION WARREN
WEBSTER
$$
MOC069-143-155-212340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN NEW MADRID PEMISCOT
$$
TNC005-017-021-037-043-045-053-079-083-085-095-125-131-147-161-
165-183-212340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHEATHAM
DAVIDSON DICKSON DYER
GIBSON HENRY HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAKE MONTGOMERY
OBION ROBERTSON STEWART
SUMNER WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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