Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
745 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South-central and southeast Kansas
West-central and northern Oklahoma
* Effective this Friday morning and afternoon from 745 AM until
200 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A few elevated supercells are expected through at least
midday, spreading northeast from west-central Oklahoma. Large hail
will be the primary hazard initially. A transition to surface-based
supercells may occur during the early afternoon with the possibility
for isolated damaging winds and a tornado as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles south southwest
of Enid OK to 35 miles west northwest of Chanute KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
22040.
...Grams
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
745 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South-central and southeast Kansas
West-central and northern Oklahoma
* Effective this Friday morning and afternoon from 745 AM until
200 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A few elevated supercells are expected through at least
midday, spreading northeast from west-central Oklahoma. Large hail
will be the primary hazard initially. A transition to surface-based
supercells may occur during the early afternoon with the possibility
for isolated damaging winds and a tornado as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles south southwest
of Enid OK to 35 miles west northwest of Chanute KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
22040.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 1 SEVERE TSTM KS OK 101345Z - 102000Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50SSW END/ENID OK/ - 35WNW CNU/CHANUTE KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /37WNW OKC - 60NW OSW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..50 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
LAT...LON 35669969 37849754 37849461 35669683
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 1 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 1
VALID 101930Z - 102040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WNW OKC
TO 15 WNW END TO 25 WNW PNC TO 35 NNE PNC TO 25 WSW EMP.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 14
..GLEASON..01/10/20
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 1
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-015-019-035-049-073-099-125-133-205-207-102040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA
COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD
LABETTE MONTGOMERY NEOSHO
WILSON WOODSON
$$
OKC047-053-071-073-103-102040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GARFIELD GRANT KAY
KINGFISHER NOBLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 1
VALID 101825Z - 101940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E CSM TO
35 S AVK TO 40 NNE ICT.
..GLEASON..01/10/20
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 1
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-015-019-035-049-073-077-099-125-133-173-191-205-207-
101940-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA
COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD
HARPER LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO SEDGWICK SUMNER
WILSON WOODSON
$$
OKC003-011-047-053-071-073-093-103-101940-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE GARFIELD
GRANT KAY KINGFISHER
MAJOR NOBLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 1
VALID 101745Z - 101840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..01/10/20
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 1
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-015-019-035-049-073-077-099-125-133-173-191-205-207-
101840-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA
COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD
HARPER LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO SEDGWICK SUMNER
WILSON WOODSON
$$
OKC003-011-039-043-047-053-071-073-093-103-129-151-101840-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CUSTER
DEWEY GARFIELD GRANT
KAY KINGFISHER MAJOR
NOBLE ROGER MILLS WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 1
VALID 101640Z - 101740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..01/10/20
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 1
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-015-019-035-049-073-077-099-125-133-173-191-205-207-
101740-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA
COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD
HARPER LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO SEDGWICK SUMNER
WILSON WOODSON
$$
OKC003-011-039-043-047-053-071-073-083-093-103-105-113-117-119-
129-147-151-101740-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CUSTER
DEWEY GARFIELD GRANT
KAY KINGFISHER LOGAN
MAJOR NOBLE NOWATA
OSAGE PAWNEE PAYNE
ROGER MILLS WASHINGTON WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 1
VALID 101545Z - 101640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..01/10/20
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 1
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-015-019-035-049-073-077-099-125-133-173-191-205-207-
101640-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA
COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD
HARPER LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO SEDGWICK SUMNER
WILSON WOODSON
$$
OKC003-011-039-043-047-053-071-073-083-093-103-105-113-117-119-
129-147-151-101640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CUSTER
DEWEY GARFIELD GRANT
KAY KINGFISHER LOGAN
MAJOR NOBLE NOWATA
OSAGE PAWNEE PAYNE
ROGER MILLS WASHINGTON WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 1
VALID 101435Z - 101540Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..01/10/20
ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...TSA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 1
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC001-015-019-035-049-073-077-099-125-133-173-191-205-207-
101540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA
COWLEY ELK GREENWOOD
HARPER LABETTE MONTGOMERY
NEOSHO SEDGWICK SUMNER
WILSON WOODSON
$$
OKC003-011-039-043-047-053-071-073-083-093-103-105-113-117-119-
129-147-151-101540-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALFALFA BLAINE CUSTER
DEWEY GARFIELD GRANT
KAY KINGFISHER LOGAN
MAJOR NOBLE NOWATA
OSAGE PAWNEE PAYNE
ROGER MILLS WASHINGTON WOODS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.