Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 4
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage across central TX
through the remainder of the afternoon and evening hours, with
scattered severe storms possible. Large hail is the main threat,
with an increasing risk of damaging wind gusts this evening. A
tornado or two is also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north northwest
of Austin TX to 50 miles west southwest of Beeville TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 2...WW 3...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Hart
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 4
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
330 PM CST Fri Jan 10 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 330 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage across central TX
through the remainder of the afternoon and evening hours, with
scattered severe storms possible. Large hail is the main threat,
with an increasing risk of damaging wind gusts this evening. A
tornado or two is also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north northwest
of Austin TX to 50 miles west southwest of Beeville TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 2...WW 3...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 4 SEVERE TSTM TX 102130Z - 110400Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NNW AUS/AUSTIN TX/ - 50WSW NIR/BEEVILLE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /39NW CWK - 53WNW CRP/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 30899688 28099736 28099948 30899908
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 4 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 4
VALID 110340Z - 110400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW COT TO
20 ENE HDO TO 20 NNE BAZ TO 15 SSE AUS TO 30 ESE TPL.
WW 4 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 110400Z.
..NAUSLAR..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-021-025-029-055-091-123-149-175-177-187-255-285-287-297-
311-325-493-110400-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BASTROP BEE
BEXAR CALDWELL COMAL
DEWITT FAYETTE GOLIAD
GONZALES GUADALUPE KARNES
LAVACA LEE LIVE OAK
MCMULLEN MEDINA WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 4
VALID 110335Z - 110440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW HDO TO
5 NNW SAT TO 20 S AUS TO 30 NE AUS TO 20 ESE TPL.
..NAUSLAR..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-021-025-029-055-091-123-149-163-175-177-187-255-283-285-
287-297-311-325-493-110440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BASTROP BEE
BEXAR CALDWELL COMAL
DEWITT FAYETTE FRIO
GOLIAD GONZALES GUADALUPE
KARNES LA SALLE LAVACA
LEE LIVE OAK MCMULLEN
MEDINA WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 4
VALID 110240Z - 110340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WSW HDO
TO 15 WSW AUS TO 15 SSW TPL.
..GOSS..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-021-025-029-055-091-123-127-149-163-175-177-187-209-255-
283-285-287-297-311-325-453-491-493-507-110340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BASTROP BEE
BEXAR CALDWELL COMAL
DEWITT DIMMIT FAYETTE
FRIO GOLIAD GONZALES
GUADALUPE HAYS KARNES
LA SALLE LAVACA LEE
LIVE OAK MCMULLEN MEDINA
TRAVIS WILLIAMSON WILSON
ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 4
VALID 110130Z - 110240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSE DRT
TO 55 SE DRT TO 20 WSW HDO TO 30 NNE HDO TO 45 N SAT TO 40 NW AUS
TO 20 W TPL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 20
..NAUSLAR..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-021-025-029-031-053-055-091-123-127-149-163-175-177-187-
209-255-259-283-285-287-297-311-325-453-491-493-507-110240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BASTROP BEE
BEXAR BLANCO BURNET
CALDWELL COMAL DEWITT
DIMMIT FAYETTE FRIO
GOLIAD GONZALES GUADALUPE
HAYS KARNES KENDALL
LA SALLE LAVACA LEE
LIVE OAK MCMULLEN MEDINA
TRAVIS WILLIAMSON WILSON
ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 4
VALID 110040Z - 110140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE DRT
TO 30 WNW HDO TO 35 N HDO TO 50 W TPL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 20
..NAUSLAR..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-019-021-025-029-031-053-055-091-123-127-149-163-171-175-
177-187-209-255-259-283-285-287-297-299-311-325-453-491-493-507-
110140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BANDERA BASTROP
BEE BEXAR BLANCO
BURNET CALDWELL COMAL
DEWITT DIMMIT FAYETTE
FRIO GILLESPIE GOLIAD
GONZALES GUADALUPE HAYS
KARNES KENDALL LA SALLE
LAVACA LEE LIVE OAK
LLANO MCMULLEN MEDINA
TRAVIS WILLIAMSON WILSON
ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 4
VALID 102340Z - 110040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW HDO
TO 65 NW AUS.
..GOSS..01/10/20
ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-019-021-025-029-031-053-055-091-123-149-163-171-175-177-
187-209-255-259-283-285-287-297-299-311-325-453-491-493-
110040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BANDERA BASTROP
BEE BEXAR BLANCO
BURNET CALDWELL COMAL
DEWITT FAYETTE FRIO
GILLESPIE GOLIAD GONZALES
GUADALUPE HAYS KARNES
KENDALL LA SALLE LAVACA
LEE LIVE OAK LLANO
MCMULLEN MEDINA TRAVIS
WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 4
VALID 102245Z - 102340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 16
..NAUSLAR..01/10/20
ATTN...WFO...EWX...CRP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-019-021-025-029-031-053-055-091-123-149-163-171-175-177-
187-209-255-259-265-283-285-287-297-299-311-325-453-491-493-
102340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BANDERA BASTROP
BEE BEXAR BLANCO
BURNET CALDWELL COMAL
DEWITT FAYETTE FRIO
GILLESPIE GOLIAD GONZALES
GUADALUPE HAYS KARNES
KENDALL KERR LA SALLE
LAVACA LEE LIVE OAK
LLANO MCMULLEN MEDINA
TRAVIS WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.