Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 8
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1230 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western and central Louisiana
Far southeast Texas
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Saturday morning from 1230 AM until 800 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Elongated squall line will progress east across the Sabine
Valley through western to central Louisiana early this morning with
a couple supercells possible ahead of the line. Damaging winds and
embedded tornadoes are anticipated.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 60 miles northwest of Monroe LA to 50
miles south southeast of Lake Charles LA. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 5...WW 6...WW 7...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23045.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 8 TORNADO LA TX CW 110630Z - 111400Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
60NW MLU/MONROE LA/ - 50SSE LCH/LAKE CHARLES LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /8S ELD - 42SSE LCH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
LAT...LON 33139163 29459181 29459398 33139388
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 8 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 8
VALID 111325Z - 111400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE 7R4
TO 30 ESE LFT.
WW 8 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 111400Z.
..DEAN..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC101-111400-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ST. MARY
$$
GMZ455-111400-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 8
VALID 111225Z - 111340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW 7R4
TO 30 WSW HEZ.
..DEAN..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC045-055-097-099-101-113-111340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
IBERIA LAFAYETTE ST. LANDRY
ST. MARTIN ST. MARY VERMILION
$$
GMZ435-452-455-111340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
VERMILION BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 8
VALID 111125Z - 111240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE LCH
TO 35 NW 7R4 TO 15 WSW ESF TO 35 SW GLH.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 28
..MOSIER..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-009-039-045-055-059-079-097-099-101-113-111240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA AVOYELLES EVANGELINE
IBERIA LAFAYETTE LA SALLE
RAPIDES ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN
ST. MARY VERMILION
$$
GMZ435-452-455-111240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
VERMILION BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 8
VALID 111005Z - 111140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE BPT
TO 10 NNW POE TO 40 SW LLQ.
..MOSIER..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-011-019-021-023-039-043-045-049-053-055-059-069-
073-079-097-099-101-113-127-111140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD CALCASIEU CALDWELL
CAMERON EVANGELINE GRANT
IBERIA JACKSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
LAFAYETTE LA SALLE NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA RAPIDES ST. LANDRY
ST. MARTIN ST. MARY VERMILION
WINN
$$
GMZ432-435-452-455-111140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CALCASIEU LAKE
VERMILION BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 8
VALID 110840Z - 110940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW IER
TO 20 ESE ELD.
..MOSIER..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-011-013-019-021-023-039-043-045-049-053-055-059-
061-069-073-079-081-085-097-099-101-111-113-115-127-110940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE CALCASIEU
CALDWELL CAMERON EVANGELINE
GRANT IBERIA JACKSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE LA SALLE
LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA
RAPIDES RED RIVER SABINE
ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN ST. MARY
UNION VERMILION VERNON
WINN
$$
TXC199-241-245-351-361-403-457-110940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN JASPER JEFFERSON
NEWTON ORANGE SABINE
TYLER
$$
GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-110940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
VERMILION BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 8
VALID 110740Z - 110840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 25
..NAUSLAR..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-011-013-019-021-023-027-039-043-045-049-053-055-
059-061-069-073-079-081-085-097-099-101-111-113-115-119-127-
110840-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE CALCASIEU
CALDWELL CAMERON CLAIBORNE
EVANGELINE GRANT IBERIA
JACKSON JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE
LA SALLE LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA RAPIDES RED RIVER
SABINE ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN
ST. MARY UNION VERMILION
VERNON WEBSTER WINN
$$
TXC199-241-245-351-361-403-457-110840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN JASPER JEFFERSON
NEWTON ORANGE SABINE
TYLER
$$
GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-110840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
VERMILION BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY
LA OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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