Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 12
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
700 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern Alabama
Western Kentucky
Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday morning and afternoon from 700 AM until
100 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Extensive squall line from western Kentucky to northeast
Mississippi will progress eastward through midday. Damaging winds
will be the primary threat, but a few embedded tornadoes will also
be possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
east and west of a line from 15 miles east northeast of Owensboro KY
to 75 miles south of Muscle Shoals AL. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 8...WW 9...WW 10...WW
11...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23045.
...Grams
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 12
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
700 AM CST Sat Jan 11 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern Alabama
Western Kentucky
Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday morning and afternoon from 700 AM until
100 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Extensive squall line from western Kentucky to northeast
Mississippi will progress eastward through midday. Damaging winds
will be the primary threat, but a few embedded tornadoes will also
be possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
east and west of a line from 15 miles east northeast of Owensboro KY
to 75 miles south of Muscle Shoals AL. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 8...WW 9...WW 10...WW
11...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23045.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 12 TORNADO AL KY TN 111300Z - 111900Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15ENE OWB/OWENSBORO KY/ - 75S MSL/MUSCLE SHOALS AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /41E PXV - 36W VUZ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
LAT...LON 37798608 33658683 33658840 37798773
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 12 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 12
VALID 111825Z - 111940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N TCL TO
25 SSE MSL TO 30 ESE BNA TO 50 ESE BWG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 38
..GLEASON..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...LMK...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 12
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC043-079-083-089-103-127-133-111940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CULLMAN LAWRENCE LIMESTONE
MADISON MORGAN WALKER
WINSTON
$$
TNC003-015-027-031-035-041-049-061-087-103-127-133-137-141-159-
175-177-185-111940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CLAY
COFFEE CUMBERLAND DE KALB
FENTRESS GRUNDY JACKSON
LINCOLN MOORE OVERTON
PICKETT PUTNAM SMITH
VAN BUREN WARREN WHITE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 12
VALID 111745Z - 111840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 ESE CBM TO
10 ESE MSL TO 50 S BNA TO 30 ESE BNA TO 50 ESE BWG.
..DEAN..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...LMK...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 12
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC043-057-059-075-079-083-089-093-103-127-133-111840-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CULLMAN FAYETTE FRANKLIN
LAMAR LAWRENCE LIMESTONE
MADISON MARION MORGAN
WALKER WINSTON
$$
TNC003-015-027-031-035-041-049-055-061-087-103-117-127-133-137-
141-149-159-175-177-185-189-111840-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CLAY
COFFEE CUMBERLAND DE KALB
FENTRESS GILES GRUNDY
JACKSON LINCOLN MARSHALL
MOORE OVERTON PICKETT
PUTNAM RUTHERFORD SMITH
VAN BUREN WARREN WHITE
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 12
VALID 111635Z - 111740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW CBM TO
50 N HSV TO 10 ESE BNA TO 30 NNE BWG TO 30 SSW SDF.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 35
..DEAN..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...LMK...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 12
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-043-057-059-075-079-083-089-093-103-127-133-111740-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT CULLMAN FAYETTE
FRANKLIN LAMAR LAWRENCE
LIMESTONE MADISON MARION
MORGAN WALKER WINSTON
$$
KYC003-227-111740-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN WARREN
$$
TNC003-015-027-031-035-041-049-055-061-087-103-111-117-127-133-
137-141-149-159-165-169-175-177-185-189-111740-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CLAY
COFFEE CUMBERLAND DE KALB
FENTRESS GILES GRUNDY
JACKSON LINCOLN MACON
MARSHALL MOORE OVERTON
PICKETT PUTNAM RUTHERFORD
SMITH SUMNER TROUSDALE
VAN BUREN WARREN WHITE
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 12
VALID 111535Z - 111640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE TUP
TO 30 SW MSL TO 35 NNE MSL TO 25 ESE CKV TO 20 NE OWB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 35
..DEAN..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...LMK...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 12
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-043-057-059-075-077-079-083-089-093-103-127-133-111640-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT CULLMAN FAYETTE
FRANKLIN LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON
MARION MORGAN WALKER
WINSTON
$$
KYC003-031-091-141-183-213-227-111640-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BUTLER HANCOCK
LOGAN OHIO SIMPSON
WARREN
$$
TNC003-015-021-027-031-035-037-041-043-049-055-061-087-103-111-
117-119-127-133-137-141-147-149-159-165-169-175-177-185-187-189-
111640-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CHEATHAM
CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND
DAVIDSON DE KALB DICKSON
FENTRESS GILES GRUNDY
JACKSON LINCOLN MACON
MARSHALL MAURY MOORE
OVERTON PICKETT PUTNAM
ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD SMITH
SUMNER TROUSDALE VAN BUREN
WARREN WHITE WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 12
VALID 111435Z - 111540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE TUP
TO 35 N MSL TO 60 SSW CKV TO 20 ESE CKV TO 35 WNW BWG TO 25 NNE
OWB.
..GLEASON..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...HUN...BMX...LMK...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 12
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC033-043-057-059-075-077-079-083-089-093-103-127-133-111540-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLBERT CULLMAN FAYETTE
FRANKLIN LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LIMESTONE MADISON
MARION MORGAN WALKER
WINSTON
$$
KYC003-031-059-091-141-183-213-227-111540-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BUTLER DAVIESS
HANCOCK LOGAN OHIO
SIMPSON WARREN
$$
TNC003-021-037-043-055-081-099-101-103-117-119-127-147-149-165-
181-187-189-111540-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CHEATHAM DAVIDSON
DICKSON GILES HICKMAN
LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN
MARSHALL MAURY MOORE
ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD SUMNER
WAYNE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.