Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 14
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
935 AM EST Sat Jan 11 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Indiana
Central Kentucky
Southwest Ohio
* Effective this Saturday morning and afternoon from 935 AM until
500 PM EST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A fast-moving line of thunderstorms will pose a risk of
gusty/damaging winds through the day as it tracks across the watch
area. An isolated/brief tornado or two is also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles northwest of
Cincinnati OH to 100 miles south southwest of Lexington KY. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 9...WW 10...WW 11...WW
12...WW 13...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24040.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 14 SEVERE TSTM IN KY OH 111435Z - 112200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NW LUK/CINCINNATI OH/ - 100SSW LEX/LEXINGTON KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /28NNW CVG - 57ESE BWG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 39458376 36688420 36688637 39458601
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 14 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 14
VALID 112040Z - 112140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE CSV
TO 30 WNW LOZ TO 15 NNE LOZ.
..GLEASON..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 14
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC125-147-199-231-235-112140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LAUREL MCCREARY PULASKI
WAYNE WHITLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 14
VALID 111835Z - 111940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE CSV
TO 30 SE DAY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 37
..GLEASON..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 14
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC011-017-023-049-065-067-069-079-097-109-125-135-137-147-151-
161-165-173-181-197-199-201-203-205-231-235-111940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BATH BOURBON BRACKEN
CLARK ESTILL FAYETTE
FLEMING GARRARD HARRISON
JACKSON LAUREL LEWIS
LINCOLN MCCREARY MADISON
MASON MENIFEE MONTGOMERY
NICHOLAS POWELL PULASKI
ROBERTSON ROCKCASTLE ROWAN
WAYNE WHITLEY
$$
OHC001-015-131-145-111940-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN PIKE
SCIOTO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 14
VALID 111740Z - 111840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 ESE BWG
TO 55 SSE SDF TO 30 NW LEX TO 20 SSW DAY.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 37
..DEAN..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 14
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-005-015-017-021-023-037-045-049-053-057-065-067-073-077-
079-081-087-097-109-113-117-125-137-147-151-155-167-169-171-173-
181-187-191-197-199-201-203-207-209-217-229-231-235-239-
111840-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDERSON BOONE
BOURBON BOYLE BRACKEN
CAMPBELL CASEY CLARK
CLINTON CUMBERLAND ESTILL
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GALLATIN
GARRARD GRANT GREEN
HARRISON JACKSON JESSAMINE
KENTON LAUREL LINCOLN
MCCREARY MADISON MARION
MERCER METCALFE MONROE
MONTGOMERY NICHOLAS OWEN
PENDLETON POWELL PULASKI
ROBERTSON ROCKCASTLE RUSSELL
SCOTT TAYLOR WASHINGTON
WAYNE WHITLEY WOODFORD
$$
OHC025-061-111840-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLERMONT HAMILTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 14
VALID 111635Z - 111740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE BWG
TO 25 NE BWG TO 20 SSE SDF TO 45 ESE IND.
..DEAN..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 14
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC029-077-115-137-155-111740-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DEARBORN JEFFERSON OHIO
RIPLEY SWITZERLAND
$$
KYC001-005-009-015-017-021-023-029-037-041-045-049-053-057-065-
067-073-077-079-081-087-093-097-099-103-109-111-113-117-123-125-
137-147-151-155-167-169-171-173-179-181-185-187-191-197-199-201-
203-207-209-211-215-217-223-229-231-235-239-111740-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDERSON BARREN
BOONE BOURBON BOYLE
BRACKEN BULLITT CAMPBELL
CARROLL CASEY CLARK
CLINTON CUMBERLAND ESTILL
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GALLATIN
GARRARD GRANT GREEN
HARDIN HARRISON HART
HENRY JACKSON JEFFERSON
JESSAMINE KENTON LARUE
LAUREL LINCOLN MCCREARY
MADISON MARION MERCER
METCALFE MONROE MONTGOMERY
NELSON NICHOLAS OLDHAM
OWEN PENDLETON POWELL
PULASKI ROBERTSON ROCKCASTLE
RUSSELL SCOTT SHELBY
SPENCER TAYLOR TRIMBLE
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHITLEY
WOODFORD
$$
OHC025-061-111740-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLERMONT HAMILTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 14
VALID 111540Z - 111640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..01/11/20
ATTN...WFO...LMK...ILN...JKL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 14
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC019-029-043-061-077-115-137-143-155-175-111640-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK DEARBORN FLOYD
HARRISON JEFFERSON OHIO
RIPLEY SCOTT SWITZERLAND
WASHINGTON
$$
KYC001-005-009-015-017-021-023-027-029-037-041-045-049-053-057-
061-065-067-073-077-079-081-085-087-093-097-099-103-109-111-113-
117-123-125-137-147-151-155-163-167-169-171-173-179-181-185-187-
191-197-199-201-203-207-209-211-215-217-223-229-231-235-239-
111640-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ANDERSON BARREN
BOONE BOURBON BOYLE
BRACKEN BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT
CAMPBELL CARROLL CASEY
CLARK CLINTON CUMBERLAND
EDMONSON ESTILL FAYETTE
FRANKLIN GALLATIN GARRARD
GRANT GRAYSON GREEN
HARDIN HARRISON HART
HENRY JACKSON JEFFERSON
JESSAMINE KENTON LARUE
LAUREL LINCOLN MCCREARY
MADISON MARION MEADE
MERCER METCALFE MONROE
MONTGOMERY NELSON NICHOLAS
OLDHAM OWEN PENDLETON
POWELL PULASKI ROBERTSON
ROCKCASTLE RUSSELL SCOTT
SHELBY SPENCER TAYLOR
TRIMBLE WASHINGTON WAYNE
WHITLEY WOODFORD
$$
OHC025-061-111640-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLERMONT HAMILTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.