Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 19
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
935 PM EST Sat Jan 11 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central North Carolina
Central and Northern South Carolina
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 935 PM
until 200 AM EST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Fast-moving storms will continue to cross the Piedmont of
South Carolina and North Carolina late this evening into the
overnight. Damaging winds will be the primary concern within a
weakly unstable environment.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north of Raleigh
NC to 25 miles west southwest of Orangeburg SC. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 17...WW 18...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
23045.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 19 SEVERE TSTM NC SC 120235Z - 120700Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40N RDU/RALEIGH NC/ - 25WSW OGB/ORANGEBURG SC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /34N RDU - 34SSW CAE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23045.
LAT...LON 36437779 33318030 33318219 36437976
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 19 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 19
VALID 120530Z - 120640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S OGB TO
15 NE SOP TO 20 WSW AVC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 49
..NAUSLAR..01/12/20
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC051-069-077-085-093-155-165-181-183-120640-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUMBERLAND FRANKLIN GRANVILLE
HARNETT HOKE ROBESON
SCOTLAND VANCE WAKE
$$
SCC009-027-031-033-041-120640-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAMBERG CLARENDON DARLINGTON
DILLON FLORENCE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 19
VALID 120440Z - 120540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW OGB TO
30 WNW FLO TO 30 SSW SOP TO 15 NW SOP TO 5 WSW DAN.
..LEITMAN..01/12/20
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-037-051-063-069-077-085-093-105-125-135-145-155-165-181-
183-120540-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE CHATHAM CUMBERLAND
DURHAM FRANKLIN GRANVILLE
HARNETT HOKE LEE
MOORE ORANGE PERSON
ROBESON SCOTLAND VANCE
WAKE
$$
SCC009-027-031-033-041-061-075-085-120540-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAMBERG CLARENDON DARLINGTON
DILLON FLORENCE LEE
ORANGEBURG SUMTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 19
VALID 120335Z - 120440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE AGS
TO 5 NNE CAE TO 40 NE CAE TO 30 SE CLT TO 20 NE CLT.
..LEITMAN..01/12/20
ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CAE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC001-007-037-051-057-063-067-069-077-081-085-093-105-123-125-
135-145-151-153-155-165-167-181-183-120440-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALAMANCE ANSON CHATHAM
CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON DURHAM
FORSYTH FRANKLIN GRANVILLE
GUILFORD HARNETT HOKE
LEE MONTGOMERY MOORE
ORANGE PERSON RANDOLPH
RICHMOND ROBESON SCOTLAND
STANLY VANCE WAKE
$$
SCC009-011-017-025-027-031-033-041-055-061-069-075-079-085-
120440-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAMBERG BARNWELL CALHOUN
CHESTERFIELD CLARENDON DARLINGTON
DILLON FLORENCE KERSHAW
LEE MARLBORO ORANGEBURG
RICHLAND SUMTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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