Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 22
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1150 AM CST Wed Feb 5 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central Louisiana
Central and Southwest Mississippi
* Effective this Wednesday morning and evening from 1150 AM until
600 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to continue to develop over
central Louisiana this afternoon and spread northeastward across the
watch area. A few supercell storms are possible, capable of
damaging winds and tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles north northwest of Lake
Charles LA to 195 miles northeast of Natchez MS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Hart
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 22
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1150 AM CST Wed Feb 5 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central Louisiana
Central and Southwest Mississippi
* Effective this Wednesday morning and evening from 1150 AM until
600 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to continue to develop over
central Louisiana this afternoon and spread northeastward across the
watch area. A few supercell storms are possible, capable of
damaging winds and tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles north northwest of Lake
Charles LA to 195 miles northeast of Natchez MS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 22 TORNADO LA MS 051750Z - 060000Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20NNW LCH/LAKE CHARLES LA/ - 195NE HEZ/NATCHEZ MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /20NW LCH - 20WNW IGB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
LAT...LON 31199335 34398890 32808890 29609335
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 22 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 22
VALID 052335Z - 060000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW 7R4
TO 30 NW LFT TO 35 SSE ESF TO 30 WSW HEZ TO 15 NNW HEZ TO 65 NNE
HEZ TO 20 S GWO TO 40 SW TUP TO 5 SSW TUP TO 5 S TUP TO 25 NNE
TUP TO 45 NNE TUP.
WW 22 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 060000Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 81
..BENTLEY..02/05/20
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 22
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-009-033-037-047-077-091-097-121-125-060000-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA AVOYELLES EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA IBERVILLE POINTE COUPEE
ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-049-051-061-
063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085-087-089-091-097-099-101-103-
105-113-121-123-127-129-149-155-157-159-163-060000-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
HINDS HOLMES JASPER
JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES
KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN
LOWNDES MADISON MARION
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA PIKE
RANKIN SCOTT SIMPSON
SMITH WARREN WEBSTER
WILKINSON WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 22
VALID 052230Z - 052340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE LCH
TO 30 WNW LFT TO 40 NNW LFT TO 25 SE ESF TO 25 E ESF TO 25 NW HEZ
TO 30 N HEZ TO 60 NNE HEZ TO 40 SSE GLH TO 15 WNW GWO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 79
..BENTLEY..02/05/20
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 22
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-009-029-033-037-039-047-077-091-097-107-121-125-052340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA AVOYELLES CONCORDIA
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE
IBERVILLE POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA
ST. LANDRY TENSAS WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-043-049-051-
053-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085-087-089-091-097-099-
101-103-105-113-121-123-127-129-149-155-157-159-163-052340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
COVINGTON FORREST FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LINCOLN LOWNDES
MADISON MARION MONTGOMERY
NESHOBA NEWTON NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA PIKE RANKIN
SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH
WARREN WEBSTER WILKINSON
WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 22
VALID 052145Z - 052240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ESE LCH
TO 30 S ESF TO 30 WNW HEZ TO 40 NNW HEZ TO 40 ENE MLU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 79
..DIAL..02/05/20
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 22
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-009-029-033-037-039-047-053-065-077-091-097-107-121-125-
052240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA AVOYELLES CONCORDIA
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE
IBERVILLE JEFFERSON DAVIS MADISON
POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY
TENSAS WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-023-025-029-037-043-049-051-053-055-
061-063-069-075-077-079-085-087-089-097-099-101-103-105-113-121-
123-125-127-129-149-155-157-159-163-052240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLARKE CLAY COPIAH
FRANKLIN GRENADA HINDS
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
JASPER JEFFERSON KEMPER
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LINCOLN LOWNDES MADISON
MONTGOMERY NESHOBA NEWTON
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA PIKE
RANKIN SCOTT SHARKEY
SIMPSON SMITH WARREN
WEBSTER WILKINSON WINSTON
YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 22
VALID 052035Z - 052140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WSW LCH
TO 25 SSW ESF TO 40 SSW MLU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 78
..DIAL..02/05/20
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 22
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-021-025-029-033-035-037-039-041-047-053-059-065-
077-079-083-091-097-107-121-125-052140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE FRANKLIN IBERVILLE
JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE MADISON
POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES RICHLAND
ST. HELENA ST. LANDRY TENSAS
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-025-029-037-043-049-051-053-055-063-
079-085-087-089-097-099-101-103-105-113-121-123-125-127-129-149-
155-157-159-163-052140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLAY COPIAH FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON
LEAKE LINCOLN LOWNDES
MADISON MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PIKE RANKIN SCOTT
SHARKEY SIMPSON SMITH
WARREN WEBSTER WILKINSON
WINSTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 22
VALID 051935Z - 052040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW LCH
TO 30 NNE LCH TO 15 E POE TO 40 NNE IER.
..WENDT..02/05/20
ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 22
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-009-019-021-025-029-035-037-039-041-043-053-059-065-
073-077-079-083-097-107-125-127-052040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN AVOYELLES
CALCASIEU CALDWELL CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE FRANKLIN GRANT
JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE MADISON
OUACHITA POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES
RICHLAND ST. LANDRY TENSAS
WEST FELICIANA WINN
$$
MSC001-005-007-015-019-021-025-029-037-043-049-051-053-055-063-
079-085-087-089-097-099-101-103-105-121-123-125-127-129-149-155-
157-159-163-052040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CARROLL CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLAY COPIAH FRANKLIN
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON
LEAKE LINCOLN LOWNDES
MADISON MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
RANKIN SCOTT SHARKEY
SIMPSON SMITH WARREN
WEBSTER WILKINSON WINSTON
YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.