Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 31
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
425 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern North Carolina
Northeast South Carolina
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and Friday morning from 425
PM until 100 AM EST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Lines and clusters of thunderstorms over the central
Carolinas will track eastward across the watch area late this
afternoon and evening. The strongest cells will pose a risk of
damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles south southwest of Florence
SC to 40 miles northeast of Cape Hatteras NC. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 27...WW 29...WW 30...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 31 TORNADO NC SC CW 062125Z - 070600Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35SSW FLO/FLORENCE SC/ - 40NE HSE/CAPE HATTERAS NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /34SSW FLO - 64SE ECG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 34437994 36347512 34907512 32997994
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 31 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 31
VALID 070340Z - 070440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE CHS
TO 25 NNW CRE TO 20 NNE ILM TO 5 SE EWN TO 15 SW HSE TO 50 SE HSE.
..KARSTENS..02/07/20
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC019-031-047-129-133-141-070440-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRUNSWICK CARTERET COLUMBUS
NEW HANOVER ONSLOW PENDER
$$
SCC043-051-070440-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGETOWN HORRY
$$
AMZ137-156-158-250-252-254-256-070440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 31
VALID 070240Z - 070340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 N CHS TO
35 N CRE TO 30 NW ILM TO 10 WSW EWN TO 30 NE EWN TO 35 SSW ECG TO
30 E ECG.
..KARSTENS..02/07/20
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-019-031-047-055-095-103-107-129-133-137-141-177-070340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BRUNSWICK CARTERET
COLUMBUS DARE HYDE
JONES LENOIR NEW HANOVER
ONSLOW PAMLICO PENDER
TYRRELL
$$
SCC043-051-089-070340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGETOWN HORRY WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-231-250-252-254-256-
070340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALLIGATOR RIVER
PAMLICO SOUND
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OREGON INLET NC TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE HATTERAS NC TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
CROATAN AND ROANOKE SOUNDS
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 31
VALID 070135Z - 070240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 N CHS TO
30 N CRE TO 35 NW ILM TO 5 W OAJ TO 20 NW EWN TO 50 NNE EWN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 99
..KARSTENS..02/07/20
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-019-031-047-049-055-095-103-129-133-137-141-177-187-
070240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BRUNSWICK CARTERET
COLUMBUS CRAVEN DARE
HYDE JONES NEW HANOVER
ONSLOW PAMLICO PENDER
TYRRELL WASHINGTON
$$
SCC043-051-089-070240-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGETOWN HORRY WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-250-252-254-256-
070240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALLIGATOR RIVER
PAMLICO SOUND
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OREGON INLET NC TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE HATTERAS NC TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
ALBEMARLE SOUND
CROATAN AND ROANOKE SOUNDS
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 31
VALID 070035Z - 070140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW FLO
TO 40 SSW FAY TO 35 SE FAY TO 15 SW GSB.
..KARSTENS..02/07/20
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-017-019-031-047-049-055-061-079-095-103-107-117-129-133-
137-141-147-177-187-070140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CARTERET COLUMBUS CRAVEN
DARE DUPLIN GREENE
HYDE JONES LENOIR
MARTIN NEW HANOVER ONSLOW
PAMLICO PENDER PITT
TYRRELL WASHINGTON
$$
SCC041-043-051-067-089-070140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FLORENCE GEORGETOWN HORRY
MARION WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-250-252-254-256-
070140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALLIGATOR RIVER
PAMLICO SOUND
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OREGON INLET NC TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE HATTERAS NC TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
ALBEMARLE SOUND
CROATAN AND ROANOKE SOUNDS
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 31
VALID 062335Z - 070040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW FLO
TO 20 NE FLO TO 25 WSW FAY.
..KARSTENS..02/06/20
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-017-019-031-047-049-055-061-079-095-103-107-117-129-133-
137-141-147-155-177-187-070040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CARTERET COLUMBUS CRAVEN
DARE DUPLIN GREENE
HYDE JONES LENOIR
MARTIN NEW HANOVER ONSLOW
PAMLICO PENDER PITT
ROBESON TYRRELL WASHINGTON
$$
SCC033-041-043-051-067-089-070040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DILLON FLORENCE GEORGETOWN
HORRY MARION WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-250-252-254-256-
070040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALLIGATOR RIVER
PAMLICO SOUND
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OREGON INLET NC TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE HATTERAS NC TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
ALBEMARLE SOUND
CROATAN AND ROANOKE SOUNDS
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 31
VALID 062230Z - 062340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 95
..KARSTENS..02/06/20
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 31
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-017-019-031-047-049-055-061-079-095-103-107-117-129-133-
137-141-147-155-177-187-062340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CARTERET COLUMBUS CRAVEN
DARE DUPLIN GREENE
HYDE JONES LENOIR
MARTIN NEW HANOVER ONSLOW
PAMLICO PENDER PITT
ROBESON TYRRELL WASHINGTON
$$
SCC031-033-041-043-051-067-069-089-062340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DARLINGTON DILLON FLORENCE
GEORGETOWN HORRY MARION
MARLBORO WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-250-252-254-256-
062340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALLIGATOR RIVER
PAMLICO SOUND
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OREGON INLET NC TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE HATTERAS NC TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
ALBEMARLE SOUND
CROATAN AND ROANOKE SOUNDS
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.