Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 35
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
520 PM CST Mon Mar 2 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southwestern Indiana
Western Kentucky
Southeastern Missouri
Northwestern Tennessee
* Effective this Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning from 520 PM
until 100 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should develop and increase in coverage and
intensity through the evening over the watch area, with commensurate
increase in mainly large-hail potential in a favorable supercell
environment. Tornadoes are possible, however, along with isolated
severe gusts.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
either side of a line from 45 miles south of Harrison AR to
Owensboro KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the
associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 27030.
...Edwards
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 35
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
520 PM CST Mon Mar 2 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southwestern Indiana
Western Kentucky
Southeastern Missouri
Northwestern Tennessee
* Effective this Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning from 520 PM
until 100 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms should develop and increase in coverage and
intensity through the evening over the watch area, with commensurate
increase in mainly large-hail potential in a favorable supercell
environment. Tornadoes are possible, however, along with isolated
severe gusts.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
either side of a line from 45 miles south of Harrison AR to
Owensboro KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the
associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 27030.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 35 TORNADO AR IL IN KY MO TN 022320Z - 030700Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
45S HRO/HARRISON AR/ - OWB/OWENSBORO KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM EITHER SIDE /57ENE FSM - 31ESE PXV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 36439351 38548754 36908681 34809280
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 35 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 35
VALID 030530Z - 030640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE LIT
TO 15 E BVX TO 15 ESE ARG TO 35 NNW DYR TO 20 SSE CGI TO 40 E PAH
TO 35 N HOP TO 20 SW OWB TO OWB.
..KERR..03/03/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 35
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC031-067-093-111-030640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIGHEAD JACKSON MISSISSIPPI
POINSETT
$$
KYC035-039-047-059-075-083-105-143-149-157-177-219-221-030640-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLOWAY CARLISLE CHRISTIAN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HICKMAN LYON MCLEAN
MARSHALL MUHLENBERG TODD
TRIGG
$$
MOC069-133-155-030640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI PEMISCOT
$$
TNC045-053-079-095-097-131-183-030640-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DYER GIBSON HENRY
LAKE LAUDERDALE OBION
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 35
VALID 030435Z - 030540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE RUE TO
5 S ARG TO 25 SSE POF TO 15 ESE CGI TO 45 NNE PAH TO 15 NNW OWB.
..KERR..03/03/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 35
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-023-031-055-063-067-075-093-111-030540-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLEBURNE CRAIGHEAD
GREENE INDEPENDENCE JACKSON
LAWRENCE MISSISSIPPI POINSETT
$$
ILC069-127-030540-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDIN MASSAC
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-
149-157-177-219-221-225-233-030540-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MOC069-133-143-155-030540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT
$$
TNC045-053-079-095-097-131-183-030540-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DYER GIBSON HENRY
LAKE LAUDERDALE OBION
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 35
VALID 030325Z - 030440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE RUE
TO 30 NNW BVX TO 30 WNW POF TO 20 NNE EVV.
..KERR..03/03/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 35
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-023-031-055-063-067-075-093-111-121-135-030440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLEBURNE CRAIGHEAD
GREENE INDEPENDENCE JACKSON
LAWRENCE MISSISSIPPI POINSETT
RANDOLPH SHARP
$$
ILC003-059-069-087-127-151-153-165-181-199-030440-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER GALLATIN HARDIN
JOHNSON MASSAC POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-030440-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-
149-157-177-219-221-225-233-030440-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MOC017-023-031-069-133-143-155-181-201-207-223-030440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT RIPLEY SCOTT
STODDARD WAYNE
$$
TNC045-053-079-095-097-131-183-030440-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DYER GIBSON HENRY
LAKE LAUDERDALE OBION
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 35
VALID 030220Z - 030340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N RUE TO
15 ESE FLP TO 35 NNW ARG TO 25 ESE FAM TO 30 E FAM.
..KERR..03/03/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 35
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-023-031-049-055-063-065-067-075-093-111-121-135-137-141-
030340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLEBURNE CRAIGHEAD
FULTON GREENE INDEPENDENCE
IZARD JACKSON LAWRENCE
MISSISSIPPI POINSETT RANDOLPH
SHARP STONE VAN BUREN
$$
ILC003-059-069-087-127-151-153-165-181-199-030340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER GALLATIN HARDIN
JOHNSON MASSAC POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-030340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-
149-157-177-219-221-225-233-030340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MOC017-023-031-069-133-143-149-155-181-201-207-223-030340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
OREGON PEMISCOT RIPLEY
SCOTT STODDARD WAYNE
$$
TNC045-053-079-095-097-131-183-030340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DYER GIBSON HENRY
LAKE LAUDERDALE OBION
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 35
VALID 030125Z - 030240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SW HRO TO
20 SW UNO TO 45 NW POF TO 30 SW FAM.
..KERR..03/03/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 35
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-021-023-031-049-055-063-065-067-075-089-093-101-111-121-
129-135-137-141-030240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER CLAY CLEBURNE
CRAIGHEAD FULTON GREENE
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
LAWRENCE MARION MISSISSIPPI
NEWTON POINSETT RANDOLPH
SEARCY SHARP STONE
VAN BUREN
$$
ILC003-059-069-087-127-151-153-165-181-199-030240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER GALLATIN HARDIN
JOHNSON MASSAC POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-030240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-
149-157-177-219-221-225-233-030240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-069-133-143-149-155-181-201-207-223-030240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI
NEW MADRID OREGON PEMISCOT
RIPLEY SCOTT STODDARD
WAYNE
$$
TNC045-053-079-095-097-131-183-030240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DYER GIBSON HENRY
LAKE LAUDERDALE OBION
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 35
VALID 030045Z - 030140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..03/03/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 35
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-009-021-023-031-049-055-063-065-067-075-089-093-101-111-
121-129-135-137-141-030140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BOONE CLAY
CLEBURNE CRAIGHEAD FULTON
GREENE INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON LAWRENCE MARION
MISSISSIPPI NEWTON POINSETT
RANDOLPH SEARCY SHARP
STONE VAN BUREN
$$
ILC003-059-069-087-127-151-153-165-181-199-030140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER GALLATIN HARDIN
JOHNSON MASSAC POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC051-125-129-147-163-173-030140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GIBSON PIKE POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-101-105-107-139-143-145-
149-157-177-219-221-225-233-030140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG UNION
WEBSTER
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-069-091-133-143-149-153-155-181-201-203-207-
223-030140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER DUNKLIN HOWELL
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID OREGON
OZARK PEMISCOT RIPLEY
SCOTT SHANNON STODDARD
WAYNE
$$
TNC045-053-079-095-097-131-183-030140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DYER GIBSON HENRY
LAKE LAUDERDALE OBION
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.