Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 38
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
510 AM CST Tue Mar 3 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Parts of central Alabama
* Effective this Tuesday morning from 510 AM until 1100 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of storms with embedded supercells and bowing
segments will move eastward across central Alabama through the
morning. The threat for damaging gusts and a couple of tornadoes
will increase some as it warms and moistens at the surface through
the morning.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 25 statute miles
north and south of a line from 155 miles west of Auburn AL to 15
miles northeast of Auburn AL. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 27040.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 38 TORNADO AL 031110Z - 031700Z
AXIS..25 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
155W AUO/AUBURN AL/ - 15NE AUO/AUBURN AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 20NM N/S /38ENE MEI - 17S LGC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27040.
LAT...LON 32938809 33138525 32408525 32228809
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 38 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 38
VALID 031525Z - 031640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E MGM TO
5 SSE CSG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 143
..GLEASON..03/03/20
ATTN...WFO...BMX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 38
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC011-087-113-031640-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BULLOCK MACON RUSSELL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 38
VALID 031430Z - 031540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S SEM TO
35 SW ANB.
..GLEASON..03/03/20
ATTN...WFO...BMX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 38
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-011-017-037-051-081-085-087-101-111-113-123-031540-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BULLOCK CHAMBERS
COOSA ELMORE LEE
LOWNDES MACON MONTGOMERY
RANDOLPH RUSSELL TALLAPOOSA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 38
VALID 031305Z - 031440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..03/03/20
ATTN...WFO...BMX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 38
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-007-011-017-021-027-037-047-051-063-065-081-085-087-091-
101-105-111-113-119-123-031440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BIBB BULLOCK
CHAMBERS CHILTON CLAY
COOSA DALLAS ELMORE
GREENE HALE LEE
LOWNDES MACON MARENGO
MONTGOMERY PERRY RANDOLPH
RUSSELL SUMTER TALLAPOOSA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.