Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 39
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southwestern Alabama
The western Florida Panhandle
Parts of northeastern and southeastern Louisiana
Much of central and southern Mississippi
* Effective this Wednesday morning from 150 AM until 1000 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage and
intensity through the morning hours from Louisiana into Mississippi
and southwestern Alabama, along and north of a stalled front. The
storms will be more elevated with northward extent, posing mainly a
large hail and damaging wind threat. Closer to the front, storms
will be rooted near the ground, where a couple of tornadoes will be
possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles west northwest of Natchez MS
to 25 miles north northeast of Crestview FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28040.
...Thompson
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 39
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 AM CST Wed Mar 4 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southwestern Alabama
The western Florida Panhandle
Parts of northeastern and southeastern Louisiana
Much of central and southern Mississippi
* Effective this Wednesday morning from 150 AM until 1000 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage and
intensity through the morning hours from Louisiana into Mississippi
and southwestern Alabama, along and north of a stalled front. The
storms will be more elevated with northward extent, posing mainly a
large hail and damaging wind threat. Closer to the front, storms
will be rooted near the ground, where a couple of tornadoes will be
possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles west northwest of Natchez MS
to 25 miles north northeast of Crestview FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28040.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 39 TORNADO AL FL LA MS 040750Z - 041600Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25WNW HEZ/NATCHEZ MS/ - 25NNE CEW/CRESTVIEW FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /49SSE MLU - 24NE CEW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28040.
LAT...LON 32639169 31988636 30258636 30899169
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 39 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 39
VALID 041515Z - 041600Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW MOB
TO 20 NNW CEW TO 30 SSW TOI.
WW 39 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 041600Z.
..GLEASON..03/04/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 39
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-039-097-041600-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN COVINGTON MOBILE
$$
FLC033-091-113-041600-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 39
VALID 041435Z - 041540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE ESF
TO 30 SSE MCB TO 25 W MOB TO 30 SSW GZH TO 15 E GZH TO 20 S TOI.
..GLEASON..03/04/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 39
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-039-053-097-041540-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN COVINGTON ESCAMBIA
MOBILE
$$
FLC033-091-113-041540-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
LAC037-077-091-105-125-041540-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST FELICIANA POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA
TANGIPAHOA WEST FELICIANA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 39
VALID 041350Z - 041440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNE ESF
TO 10 WSW HEZ TO 20 ESE MCB TO 35 NNE GPT TO 30 NE MOB TO 10 SW
GZH TO 30 SW TOI TO 10 S TOI.
..JEWELL..03/04/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 39
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-039-053-097-041440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN COVINGTON ESCAMBIA
MOBILE
$$
FLC033-091-113-041440-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
LAC025-029-037-077-091-105-117-125-041440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST FELICIANA
POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA TANGIPAHOA
WASHINGTON WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-039-109-113-131-147-157-041440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE GEORGE
PEARL RIVER PIKE STONE
WALTHALL WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 39
VALID 041250Z - 041340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE ESF
TO 15 ESE HEZ TO 10 N MCB TO 20 SW PIB TO 40 ESE PIB TO 50 W GZH
TO 25 N GZH TO 15 SSE MGM.
..JEWELL..03/04/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 39
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-035-039-041-053-097-099-129-041340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA
MOBILE MONROE WASHINGTON
$$
FLC033-091-113-041340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
LAC025-029-037-077-091-105-117-125-041340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST FELICIANA
POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA TANGIPAHOA
WASHINGTON WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-035-037-039-041-073-091-109-111-113-131-147-157-
041340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE FORREST
FRANKLIN GEORGE GREENE
LAMAR MARION PEARL RIVER
PERRY PIKE STONE
WALTHALL WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 39
VALID 041205Z - 041340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S MLU TO
20 NW HEZ TO 35 NNW MCB TO 25 WNW PIB TO 30 NE PIB TO 55 ESE MEI
TO 25 WSW SEM.
..JEWELL..03/04/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 39
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-025-035-039-041-053-097-099-129-131-041340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CLARKE
CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW
ESCAMBIA MOBILE MONROE
WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC033-091-113-041340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
LAC025-029-037-077-091-105-117-125-041340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST FELICIANA
POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA TANGIPAHOA
WASHINGTON WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-031-035-037-039-041-063-065-067-073-077-085-091-109-
111-113-131-147-153-157-041340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN GEORGE
GREENE JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES LAMAR LAWRENCE
LINCOLN MARION PEARL RIVER
PERRY PIKE STONE
WALTHALL WAYNE WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 39
VALID 041120Z - 041240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE MLU
TO 35 ESE MLU TO 45 NNE HEZ TO 50 NE HEZ TO 50 NW PIB TO 45 N PIB
TO 5 SSE MEI TO 30 E MEI.
..JEWELL..03/04/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 39
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-023-025-035-039-041-053-097-099-129-131-041240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW
CLARKE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA MOBILE
MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC033-091-113-041240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
LAC025-029-037-041-077-091-105-107-117-125-041240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST FELICIANA
FRANKLIN POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA
TANGIPAHOA TENSAS WASHINGTON
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-021-023-029-031-035-037-039-041-061-063-065-067-073-
077-085-091-109-111-113-127-129-131-147-153-157-041240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
CLARKE COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN GEORGE
GREENE JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES LAMAR
LAWRENCE LINCOLN MARION
PEARL RIVER PERRY PIKE
SIMPSON SMITH STONE
WALTHALL WAYNE WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 39
VALID 040905Z - 041040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..03/04/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 39
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-023-025-035-039-041-053-097-099-129-131-041040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW
CLARKE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA MOBILE
MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC033-091-113-041040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
LAC025-029-035-037-041-065-067-077-083-091-105-107-117-123-125-
041040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
EAST FELICIANA FRANKLIN MADISON
MOREHOUSE POINTE COUPEE RICHLAND
ST. HELENA TANGIPAHOA TENSAS
WASHINGTON WEST CARROLL WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-021-023-029-031-035-037-039-041-049-055-061-063-065-
067-069-073-075-077-079-085-089-091-099-101-109-111-113-121-123-
125-127-129-131-147-149-153-157-163-041040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE CLAIBORNE
CLARKE COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN GEORGE
GREENE HINDS ISSAQUENA
JASPER JEFFERSON JEFFERSON DAVIS
JONES KEMPER LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LEAKE
LINCOLN MADISON MARION
NESHOBA NEWTON PEARL RIVER
PERRY PIKE RANKIN
SCOTT SHARKEY SIMPSON
SMITH STONE WALTHALL
WARREN WAYNE WILKINSON
YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.