Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 46
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Illinois
Southern Indiana
Western and Central Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northwest and North Central Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 1145 AM
until 500 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Multiple clusters of thunderstorms will track across the
watch area this afternoon, with a few supercell storms expected to
develop. Strengthening winds aloft will pose a risk of a tornadoes,
possibly strong. Hail and damaging winds are also possible with the
strongest storms.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles west southwest of Cape
Girardeau MO to 35 miles northeast of Bowling Green KY. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 26035.
...Hart
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 46
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 AM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Illinois
Southern Indiana
Western and Central Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northwest and North Central Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday morning and afternoon from 1145 AM
until 500 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Multiple clusters of thunderstorms will track across the
watch area this afternoon, with a few supercell storms expected to
develop. Strengthening winds aloft will pose a risk of a tornadoes,
possibly strong. Hail and damaging winds are also possible with the
strongest storms.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
north and south of a line from 25 miles west southwest of Cape
Girardeau MO to 35 miles northeast of Bowling Green KY. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 26035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 46 TORNADO IL IN KY MO TN 121645Z - 122200Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25WSW CGI/CAPE GIRARDEAU MO/ - 35NE BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /37SSE FAM - 33NE BWG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.
LAT...LON 38168999 38418597 36248597 36008999
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 46 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 46
VALID 122040Z - 122140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 172
..MOSIER..03/12/20
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 46
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC059-069-127-151-122140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALLATIN HARDIN MASSAC
POPE
$$
INC025-037-051-117-123-125-129-147-163-173-122140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD DUBOIS GIBSON
ORANGE PERRY PIKE
POSEY SPENCER VANDERBURGH
WARRICK
$$
KYC003-009-027-031-033-035-047-055-059-061-085-091-093-099-101-
107-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-213-219-221-225-227-233-
122140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BARREN BRECKINRIDGE
BUTLER CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS
EDMONSON GRAYSON HANCOCK
HARDIN HART HENDERSON
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LOGAN
LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN
MARSHALL MEADE MUHLENBERG
OHIO SIMPSON TODD
TRIGG UNION WARREN
WEBSTER
$$
TNC005-021-037-043-079-083-085-125-147-161-165-122140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CHEATHAM DAVIDSON
DICKSON HENRY HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS MONTGOMERY ROBERTSON
STEWART SUMNER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 46
VALID 121925Z - 122040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NE MKL TO
25 E FAM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 170
..MOSIER..03/12/20
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 46
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-122040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MASSAC PERRY POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WABASH WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC025-037-051-117-123-125-129-147-163-173-122040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD DUBOIS GIBSON
ORANGE PERRY PIKE
POSEY SPENCER VANDERBURGH
WARRICK
$$
KYC003-007-009-027-031-033-035-039-047-055-059-061-083-085-091-
093-099-101-105-107-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-213-219-
221-225-227-233-122040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BALLARD BARREN
BRECKINRIDGE BUTLER CALDWELL
CALLOWAY CARLISLE CHRISTIAN
CRITTENDEN DAVIESS EDMONSON
GRAVES GRAYSON HANCOCK
HARDIN HART HENDERSON
HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON
LOGAN LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MEADE
MUHLENBERG OHIO SIMPSON
TODD TRIGG UNION
WARREN WEBSTER
$$
MOC157-122040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PERRY
$$
TNC005-021-037-043-079-083-085-125-147-161-165-122040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CHEATHAM DAVIDSON
DICKSON HENRY HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS MONTGOMERY ROBERTSON
STEWART SUMNER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 46
VALID 121915Z - 122040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E FAM TO
45 NE MKL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 170
..MOSIER..03/12/20
ATTN...WFO...PAH...LMK...MEG...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 46
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-122040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MASSAC PERRY POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WABASH WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC025-037-051-117-123-125-129-147-163-173-122040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD DUBOIS GIBSON
ORANGE PERRY PIKE
POSEY SPENCER VANDERBURGH
WARRICK
$$
KYC003-007-009-027-031-033-035-039-047-055-059-061-083-085-091-
093-099-101-105-107-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-213-219-
221-225-227-233-122040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BALLARD BARREN
BRECKINRIDGE BUTLER CALDWELL
CALLOWAY CARLISLE CHRISTIAN
CRITTENDEN DAVIESS EDMONSON
GRAVES GRAYSON HANCOCK
HARDIN HART HENDERSON
HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON
LOGAN LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MEADE
MUHLENBERG OHIO SIMPSON
TODD TRIGG UNION
WARREN WEBSTER
$$
MOC157-122040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PERRY
$$
TNC005-021-037-043-079-083-085-125-147-161-165-122040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CHEATHAM DAVIDSON
DICKSON HENRY HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS MONTGOMERY ROBERTSON
STEWART SUMNER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.