Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 47
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern and Central Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Southeast Oklahoma
Northwest Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread large hail likely with isolated very large hail
events to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to form along a cold front over
Arkansas and southern Missouri, then track eastward across the watch
area. Intense storms capable of large hail and damaging winds are
expected. A few tornadoes are also possible with any supercells
that form.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles southwest of Hot Springs AR to
35 miles north northeast of Cape Girardeau MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 46...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28035.
...Hart
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 47
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
345 PM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northern and Central Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Southeast Oklahoma
Northwest Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 345 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread large hail likely with isolated very large hail
events to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to form along a cold front over
Arkansas and southern Missouri, then track eastward across the watch
area. Intense storms capable of large hail and damaging winds are
expected. A few tornadoes are also possible with any supercells
that form.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles southwest of Hot Springs AR to
35 miles north northeast of Cape Girardeau MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 46...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 47 TORNADO AR IL KY MO OK TN 122045Z - 130400Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40SW HOT/HOT SPRINGS AR/ - 35NNE CGI/CAPE GIRARDEAU MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /41NE TXK - 43E FAM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28035.
LAT...LON 34059499 37689079 37688786 34059220
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 47 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 47
VALID 130150Z - 130240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE RKR
TO 15 ENE HOT TO 35 WSW BVX TO 20 NW DYR.
..SPC..03/13/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...PAH...SGF...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 47
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC019-023-031-037-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-063-067-081-085-
093-097-099-109-111-113-117-119-125-133-145-147-130240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CLEBURNE CRAIGHEAD
CROSS DALLAS FAULKNER
GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD
HOT SPRING HOWARD INDEPENDENCE
JACKSON LITTLE RIVER LONOKE
MISSISSIPPI MONTGOMERY NEVADA
PIKE POINSETT POLK
PRAIRIE PULASKI SALINE
SEVIER WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
MOC155-130240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PEMISCOT
$$
OKC089-130240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TNC045-053-095-097-131-183-130240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DYER GIBSON LAKE
LAUDERDALE OBION WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 47
VALID 122355Z - 130040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SE FSM TO
35 NNE RUE TO 10 WNW POF TO 10 SSE MDH.
..SPC..03/12/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...SHV...PAH...SGF...LSX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 47
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC019-021-023-029-031-037-039-045-051-053-055-057-059-061-063-
065-067-075-081-083-085-093-097-099-105-109-111-113-115-117-119-
121-125-127-133-135-137-141-145-147-149-130040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CLAY CLEBURNE
CONWAY CRAIGHEAD CROSS
DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT GREENE HEMPSTEAD
HOT SPRING HOWARD INDEPENDENCE
IZARD JACKSON LAWRENCE
LITTLE RIVER LOGAN LONOKE
MISSISSIPPI MONTGOMERY NEVADA
PERRY PIKE POINSETT
POLK POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH SALINE
SCOTT SEVIER SHARP
STONE VAN BUREN WHITE
WOODRUFF YELL
$$
ILC003-087-127-153-181-130040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER JOHNSON MASSAC
PULASKI UNION
$$
KYC007-039-075-083-105-145-130040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CARLISLE FULTON
GRAVES HICKMAN MCCRACKEN
$$
MOC017-023-031-069-133-143-155-181-201-207-130040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT RIPLEY SCOTT
STODDARD
$$
OKC089-130040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TNC045-053-095-097-131-183-130040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DYER GIBSON LAKE
LAUDERDALE OBION WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
