Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 48
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
505 PM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central Kentucky
Northern Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday afternoon from 505 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Severe storms including several supercells will continue
to move east-southeastward this evening, particularly in vicinity of
a warm front. This includes the potential for a couple of tornadoes
aside from large hail and damaging winds.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles west northwest of Bowling
Green KY to 115 miles east of Bowling Green KY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 46...WW 47...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28040.
...Guyer
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 48
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
505 PM CDT Thu Mar 12 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central Kentucky
Northern Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday afternoon from 505 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Severe storms including several supercells will continue
to move east-southeastward this evening, particularly in vicinity of
a warm front. This includes the potential for a couple of tornadoes
aside from large hail and damaging winds.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles west northwest of Bowling
Green KY to 115 miles east of Bowling Green KY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 46...WW 47...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 28040.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 48 TORNADO KY TN 122205Z - 130500Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35WNW BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/ - 115E BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /31WNW BWG - 11WSW LOZ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28040.
LAT...LON 37968701 37758434 36168434 36378701
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 48 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 48
VALID 130000Z - 130140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE OWB
TO 25 S SDF.
..SPC..03/12/20
ATTN...WFO...LMK...JKL...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 48
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-009-021-031-045-053-057-061-079-085-087-093-099-113-
123-137-141-147-151-155-167-169-171-179-199-203-207-213-217-227-
229-231-130140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN BARREN
BOYLE BUTLER CASEY
CLINTON CUMBERLAND EDMONSON
GARRARD GRAYSON GREEN
HARDIN HART JESSAMINE
LARUE LINCOLN LOGAN
MCCREARY MADISON MARION
MERCER METCALFE MONROE
NELSON PULASKI ROCKCASTLE
RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
$$
TNC027-049-087-111-133-137-169-130140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY FENTRESS JACKSON
MACON OVERTON PICKETT
TROUSDALE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.