Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 49
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
325 PM CDT Fri Mar 13 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast New Mexico
Far West Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Scattered supercells should develop off the higher terrain
of Far West Texas and southeast New Mexico into early evening. Large
hail, some significant, and a few tornadoes are the primary hazards,
particularly across the Pecos Valley.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
north and south of a line from 65 miles northeast of Dryden TX to 60
miles west southwest of Roswell NM. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Grams
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 49
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
325 PM CDT Fri Mar 13 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast New Mexico
Far West Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Scattered supercells should develop off the higher terrain
of Far West Texas and southeast New Mexico into early evening. Large
hail, some significant, and a few tornadoes are the primary hazards,
particularly across the Pecos Valley.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
north and south of a line from 65 miles northeast of Dryden TX to 60
miles west southwest of Roswell NM. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 49 TORNADO NM TX 132025Z - 140300Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
65NE 6R6/DRYDEN TX/ - 60WSW ROW/ROSWELL NM/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM N/S /65SW SJT - 49WSW CME/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 29470144 31720549 34180549 31930144
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 49 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 49
VALID 140250Z - 140340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW GDP
TO 20 ESE GDP TO 20 WNW HOB TO 50 WSW LBB AND 35 E 6R6 TO 20 E
FST TO 15 SE INK TO 30 SSE HOB TO 45 NE HOB.
..BENTLEY..03/14/20
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...EPZ...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 49
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-103-105-135-235-329-371-383-443-461-475-495-140340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS CRANE CROCKETT
ECTOR IRION MIDLAND
PECOS REAGAN TERRELL
UPTON WARD WINKLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 49
VALID 140130Z - 140240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW GDP
TO 20 ESE GDP TO 20 WNW HOB TO 50 WSW LBB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 179
..BENTLEY..03/14/20
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...EPZ...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 49
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC025-140240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEA
$$
TXC003-103-105-109-135-235-243-301-329-371-383-389-443-461-475-
495-140240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS CRANE CROCKETT
CULBERSON ECTOR IRION
JEFF DAVIS LOVING MIDLAND
PECOS REAGAN REEVES
TERRELL UPTON WARD
WINKLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 49
VALID 140000Z - 140140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BENTLEY..03/13/20
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...EPZ...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 49
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-011-015-025-027-035-140140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES DE BACA EDDY
LEA LINCOLN OTERO
$$
TXC003-103-105-109-135-229-235-243-301-329-371-383-389-443-461-
475-495-140140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS CRANE CROCKETT
CULBERSON ECTOR HUDSPETH
IRION JEFF DAVIS LOVING
MIDLAND PECOS REAGAN
REEVES TERRELL UPTON
WARD WINKLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 49
VALID 132255Z - 132340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 178
..BENTLEY..03/13/20
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...EPZ...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 49
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-011-015-025-027-035-132340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES DE BACA EDDY
LEA LINCOLN OTERO
$$
TXC003-103-105-109-135-229-235-243-301-329-371-383-389-443-461-
475-495-132340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS CRANE CROCKETT
CULBERSON ECTOR HUDSPETH
IRION JEFF DAVIS LOVING
MIDLAND PECOS REAGAN
REEVES TERRELL UPTON
WARD WINKLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (70%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.