Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 50
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
310 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far West Texas
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 310 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter
possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...At least a couple supercells should develop across parts
of the Big Bend region and consolidate into a cluster that spreads
east of the Pecos River this evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 25 miles south of Marfa
TX to 60 miles north of Del Rio TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
23030.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 50 SEVERE TSTM TX 152010Z - 160400Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
25S MRF/MARFA TX/ - 60N DRT/DEL RIO TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /18SSW MRF - 53N DLF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
LAT...LON 30880402 31110092 29370092 29140402
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 50 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 50
VALID 160310Z - 160440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 S 6R6 TO
35 SE 6R6 TO 55 ENE 6R6 TO 45 SSW SJT.
..BENTLEY..03/16/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 50
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC465-160440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 50
VALID 160045Z - 160140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW MRF
TO 20 NE MRF TO 30 S INK AND 95 SSE MRF TO 80 WSW 6R6 TO 55 W 6R6
TO 25 SSW FST TO 25 NNW FST AND 95 SSE MRF TO 80 SW 6R6 TO 35 W
6R6 TO 25 NNW 6R6 TO 50 NNE 6R6 TO 45 SE MAF.
..BENTLEY..03/16/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 50
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC043-105-443-465-160140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREWSTER CROCKETT TERRELL
VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 50
VALID 160000Z - 160140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW MRF
TO 20 NE MRF TO 30 S INK AND 95 SSE MRF TO 80 WSW 6R6 TO 55 W 6R6
TO 25 SSW FST TO 25 NNW FST.
..BENTLEY..03/16/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 50
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC043-105-371-443-465-160140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREWSTER CROCKETT PECOS
TERRELL VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 50
VALID 152215Z - 152340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW MRF
TO 20 NE MRF TO 30 S INK.
..BENTLEY..03/15/20
ATTN...WFO...MAF...SJT...EWX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 50
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC043-105-371-443-465-152340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREWSTER CROCKETT PECOS
TERRELL VAL VERDE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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