Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 52
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
105 PM CDT Tue Mar 17 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western North Texas
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 105 PM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A supercell or two embedded within a slow-moving cluster
will pose a risk for large hail this afternoon. A brief tornado or
two is also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles either side of a line from 60 miles southwest of
Childress TX to 105 miles southeast of Childress TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 51...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25025.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 52 SEVERE TSTM TX 171805Z - 180000Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
60SW CDS/CHILDRESS TX/ - 105SE CDS/CHILDRESS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM EITHER SIDE /45E LBB - 43SSW SPS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..50 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
LAT...LON 34590082 34139879 32579919 33040122
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 52 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 52
VALID 172245Z - 172340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE LBB
TO 50 S CDS TO 25 SE LTS.
..BENTLEY..03/17/20
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 52
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC023-125-155-269-275-487-172340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAYLOR DICKENS FOARD
KING KNOX WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 52
VALID 172155Z - 172240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BENTLEY..03/17/20
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 52
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC023-101-125-155-207-263-269-275-433-447-487-172240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAYLOR COTTLE DICKENS
FOARD HASKELL KENT
KING KNOX STONEWALL
THROCKMORTON WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 52
VALID 171940Z - 172040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..NAUSLAR..03/17/20
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 52
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC023-101-125-155-207-263-269-275-433-447-487-172040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAYLOR COTTLE DICKENS
FOARD HASKELL KENT
KING KNOX STONEWALL
THROCKMORTON WILBARGER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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