Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 54
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
440 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Oklahoma
West Central Texas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 440 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to
2.5 inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Scattered intense thunderstorms are expected to develop
this afternoon and spread across the watch area through the evening.
Large hail and damaging winds will occur with the strongest cells.
Through the evening, parameters will become favorable for a few
tornadoes as well.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 30 miles south of Ardmore OK to 10
miles west southwest of Big Spring TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Hart
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 54
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
440 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Oklahoma
West Central Texas
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 440 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to
2.5 inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Scattered intense thunderstorms are expected to develop
this afternoon and spread across the watch area through the evening.
Large hail and damaging winds will occur with the strongest cells.
Through the evening, parameters will become favorable for a few
tornadoes as well.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
north and south of a line from 30 miles south of Ardmore OK to 10
miles west southwest of Big Spring TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 54 TORNADO OK TX 182140Z - 190500Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30S ADM/ARDMORE OK/ - 10WSW BGS/BIG SPRING TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /23SSE ADM - 28ENE MAF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 32849702 31150166 33180166 34879702
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 54 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 54
VALID 190425Z - 190500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE CDS
TO 40 ESE SPS TO 10 S ADM.
WW 54 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 190500Z. A NEW WATCH WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR PARTS OF WEST-CENTRAL INTO NORTHWEST TEXAS.
COUNTY CLEARANCE FROM THE WATCH IS ADVISED FOR MUCH OF OKLAHOMA AND
ADJACENT PARTS OF NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS.
..SMITH..03/19/20
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 54
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC085-190500-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOVE
$$
TXC009-023-033-059-081-083-095-097-121-125-133-151-169-173-207-
227-235-237-253-263-269-275-335-337-353-363-367-383-399-415-417-
429-431-433-441-447-451-497-503-190500-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN
CALLAHAN COKE COLEMAN
CONCHO COOKE DENTON
DICKENS EASTLAND FISHER
GARZA GLASSCOCK HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JACK
JONES KENT KING
KNOX MITCHELL MONTAGUE
NOLAN PALO PINTO PARKER
REAGAN RUNNELS SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STEPHENS STERLING
STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 54
VALID 190205Z - 190340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..03/19/20
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 54
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-015-019-031-033-055-057-065-067-075-085-137-141-149-
190340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM CADDO CARTER
COMANCHE COTTON GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
KIOWA LOVE STEPHENS
TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-033-059-077-081-083-095-097-101-125-133-151-155-169-
173-197-207-227-235-237-253-263-269-275-335-337-353-363-367-383-
399-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-451-485-487-497-503-190340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN
CALLAHAN CLAY COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO COOKE
COTTLE DICKENS EASTLAND
FISHER FOARD GARZA
GLASSCOCK HARDEMAN HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JACK
JONES KENT KING
KNOX MITCHELL MONTAGUE
NOLAN PALO PINTO PARKER
REAGAN RUNNELS SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STEPHENS STERLING
STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN WICHITA WILBARGER
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 54
VALID 190045Z - 190140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..03/19/20
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 54
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC009-015-019-031-033-055-057-065-067-075-085-137-141-149-
190140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKHAM CADDO CARTER
COMANCHE COTTON GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
KIOWA LOVE STEPHENS
TILLMAN WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-033-059-077-081-083-095-097-101-125-133-151-155-169-
173-197-207-227-235-237-253-263-269-275-335-337-353-363-367-383-
399-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-451-485-487-497-503-190140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN
CALLAHAN CLAY COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO COOKE
COTTLE DICKENS EASTLAND
FISHER FOARD GARZA
GLASSCOCK HARDEMAN HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JACK
JONES KENT KING
KNOX MITCHELL MONTAGUE
NOLAN PALO PINTO PARKER
REAGAN RUNNELS SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STEPHENS STERLING
STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN WICHITA WILBARGER
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 54
VALID 182335Z - 190040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 195
..SMITH..03/18/20
ATTN...WFO...OUN...MAF...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 54
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-033-065-067-085-137-141-190040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER COTTON JACKSON
JEFFERSON LOVE STEPHENS
TILLMAN
$$
TXC009-023-033-059-077-081-083-095-097-101-125-133-151-155-169-
173-197-207-227-235-237-253-263-269-275-335-337-353-363-367-383-
399-415-417-429-431-433-441-447-451-485-487-497-503-190040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BORDEN
CALLAHAN CLAY COKE
COLEMAN CONCHO COOKE
COTTLE DICKENS EASTLAND
FISHER FOARD GARZA
GLASSCOCK HARDEMAN HASKELL
HOWARD IRION JACK
JONES KENT KING
KNOX MITCHELL MONTAGUE
NOLAN PALO PINTO PARKER
REAGAN RUNNELS SCURRY
SHACKELFORD STEPHENS STERLING
STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN WICHITA WILBARGER
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
High (80%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.