Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 59
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
950 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Northeast Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southern Indiana
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northwest Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 950 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A line of intense thunderstorms over central Arkansas will
track eastward across the watch area overnight. Extremely strong
wind fields will promote a risk of tornadoes and locally damaging
wind gusts.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles south of Hot Springs AR to 35
miles west northwest of Owensboro KY. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 56...WW 57...WW 58...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 59 TORNADO AR IL IN KY MO TN 200250Z - 200900Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35S HOT/HOT SPRINGS AR/ - 35WNW OWB/OWENSBORO KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /46NNW ELD - 1S PXV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 33969423 37918896 37918657 33969197
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 59 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 59
VALID 200650Z - 200740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 W MEM TO
25 W DYR TO 20 SSW PAH TO 15 NE PAH TO 15 E EVV.
..LEITMAN..03/20/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC093-200740-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI
$$
ILC127-200740-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MASSAC
$$
INC123-147-173-200740-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PERRY SPENCER WARRICK
$$
KYC033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-091-101-105-107-139-143-145-
149-157-177-183-219-221-225-233-200740-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE
CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS
FULTON GRAVES HANCOCK
HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
OHIO TODD TRIGG
UNION WEBSTER
$$
TNC033-045-053-079-097-131-183-200740-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT DYER GIBSON
HENRY LAUDERDALE OBION
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 59
VALID 200550Z - 200640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W MEM TO
35 SW JBR TO 15 NE JBR TO 30 S CGI TO 25 SE MDH TO 35 ESE MVN.
..LEITMAN..03/20/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC031-037-093-111-200640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAIGHEAD CROSS MISSISSIPPI
POINSETT
$$
ILC059-069-087-127-151-153-165-193-200640-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALLATIN HARDIN JOHNSON
MASSAC POPE PULASKI
SALINE WHITE
$$
INC123-129-147-163-173-200640-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PERRY POSEY SPENCER
VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-091-101-105-107-139-143-
145-149-157-177-183-219-221-225-233-200640-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HANCOCK HENDERSON HICKMAN
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MARSHALL
MUHLENBERG OHIO TODD
TRIGG UNION WEBSTER
$$
MOC069-133-143-155-200640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT
$$
TNC033-045-053-079-095-097-131-183-200640-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT DYER GIBSON
HENRY LAKE LAUDERDALE
OBION WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 59
VALID 200415Z - 200450Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE TXK
TO 15 WSW BVX TO 20 SW POF.
..SMITH..03/20/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC019-021-023-031-037-039-045-053-055-059-063-067-069-075-085-
093-111-117-119-121-125-135-145-147-200450-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CLAY CLEBURNE
CRAIGHEAD CROSS DALLAS
FAULKNER GRANT GREENE
HOT SPRING INDEPENDENCE JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE LONOKE
MISSISSIPPI POINSETT PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH SALINE
SHARP WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
ILC003-055-059-065-069-087-127-151-153-165-181-193-199-200450-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER FRANKLIN GALLATIN
HAMILTON HARDIN JOHNSON
MASSAC POPE PULASKI
SALINE UNION WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC123-129-147-163-173-200450-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PERRY POSEY SPENCER
VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-059-075-083-091-101-105-107-139-143-
145-149-157-177-183-219-221-225-233-200450-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
DAVIESS FULTON GRAVES
HANCOCK HENDERSON HICKMAN
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MARSHALL
MUHLENBERG OHIO TODD
TRIGG UNION WEBSTER
$$
MOC017-023-031-069-133-143-155-181-201-207-223-200450-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT RIPLEY SCOTT
STODDARD WAYNE
$$
TNC033-045-053-079-095-097-131-183-200450-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT DYER GIBSON
HENRY LAKE LAUDERDALE
OBION WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.