Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 68
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
central and eastern Arkansas
the Bootheel of Missouri
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to increase gradually in
coverage and intensity over the next few hours across Arkansas, as a
cold front crosses the region. Risk for damaging winds and hail can
be expected, along with a couple of tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles northwest of Walnut Ridge AR
to 50 miles west southwest of Monticello AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 67...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Goss
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 68
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
central and eastern Arkansas
the Bootheel of Missouri
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
700 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are forecast to increase gradually in
coverage and intensity over the next few hours across Arkansas, as a
cold front crosses the region. Risk for damaging winds and hail can
be expected, along with a couple of tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 25 miles northwest of Walnut Ridge AR
to 50 miles west southwest of Monticello AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 67...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24035.
...Goss
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 68 TORNADO AR MO 281910Z - 290000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
25NW ARG/WALNUT RIDGE AR/ - 50WSW LLQ/MONTICELLO AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /22NW ARG - 11ENE ELD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 36389008 33369142 33369368 36389242
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 68 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 68
VALID 282240Z - 282340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 N ELD TO
10 E LIT TO 15 NE BVX TO 20 NNW ARG.
..SPC..03/28/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 68
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-021-025-031-035-037-041-043-055-063-067-069-075-
077-079-085-093-095-107-111-117-121-123-145-147-282340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLAY CLEVELAND CRAIGHEAD
CRITTENDEN CROSS DESHA
DREW GREENE INDEPENDENCE
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAWRENCE
LEE LINCOLN LONOKE
MISSISSIPPI MONROE PHILLIPS
POINSETT PRAIRIE RANDOLPH
ST. FRANCIS WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
MOC069-155-282340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 68
VALID 282040Z - 282140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW ELD
TO 40 SSE HOT TO 20 WSW LIT TO 35 NNW LIT TO 25 W BVX TO 30 E FLP
TO 30 NE UNO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 252
..BENTLEY..03/28/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 68
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-011-013-021-023-025-031-035-037-039-041-043-045-049-053-
055-063-065-067-069-075-077-079-085-093-095-103-107-111-117-119-
121-123-125-135-137-145-147-282140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BRADLEY CALHOUN
CLAY CLEBURNE CLEVELAND
CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS
DALLAS DESHA DREW
FAULKNER FULTON GRANT
GREENE INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAWRENCE
LEE LINCOLN LONOKE
MISSISSIPPI MONROE OUACHITA
PHILLIPS POINSETT PRAIRIE
PULASKI RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
SALINE SHARP STONE
WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
MOC069-155-282140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.