Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 71
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
635 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Far eastern Arkansas
Far southwest Indiana
Western Kentucky
Missouri Boothell
Northwest Mississippi
Western Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 635 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Extensive clusters of thunderstorms will evolve
east-northeast tonight. Tornado risk through mid-evening will be
greatest across the Kentucky and Tennessee portions of the watch,
with an increasing risk towards late evening across Mississippi.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 15 miles north of Evansville IN to 25
miles south of Greenville MS. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 67...WW 68...WW 69...WW
70...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 22045.
...Grams
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 71
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
635 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Far eastern Arkansas
Far southwest Indiana
Western Kentucky
Missouri Boothell
Northwest Mississippi
Western Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 635 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Extensive clusters of thunderstorms will evolve
east-northeast tonight. Tornado risk through mid-evening will be
greatest across the Kentucky and Tennessee portions of the watch,
with an increasing risk towards late evening across Mississippi.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 15 miles north of Evansville IN to 25
miles south of Greenville MS. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 67...WW 68...WW 69...WW
70...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 22045.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 71 TORNADO AR IN KY MO MS TN 282335Z - 290700Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15N EVV/EVANSVILLE IN/ - 25S GLH/GREENVILLE MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /22NNE PXV - 41WSW SQS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
LAT...LON 38248642 33098994 33099202 38248864
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 71 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 71
VALID 290250Z - 290340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S LLQ TO
20 N GLH TO 25 S MEM TO 25 E MEM TO 5 SSW MKL TO 50 SSE PAH TO 45
NNW HOP TO 30 ENE OWB.
..SPC..03/29/20
ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 71
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC017-290340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHICOT
$$
KYC033-047-059-107-149-177-219-221-290340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CHRISTIAN DAVIESS
HOPKINS MCLEAN MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG
$$
MSC003-009-011-027-043-071-083-093-107-119-133-135-137-139-145-
151-161-290340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON BOLIVAR
COAHOMA GRENADA LAFAYETTE
LEFLORE MARSHALL PANOLA
QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE
TATE TIPPAH UNION
WASHINGTON YALOBUSHA
$$
TNC005-017-023-039-069-071-077-079-083-085-109-113-125-161-
290340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
DECATUR HARDEMAN HARDIN
HENDERSON HENRY HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS MCNAIRY MADISON
MONTGOMERY STEWART
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.