Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 72
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
915 PM EDT Sat Mar 28 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Far southern Indiana
Central Kentucky
* Effective this Saturday night and Sunday morning from 915 PM
until 300 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Line of strong to severe thunderstorms will spread east
from western into central Kentucky with a couple discrete supercells
possible just ahead of it. Damaging winds and a few tornadoes are
the main hazards.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Louisville KY to 20
miles south of Bowling Green KY. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 69...WW 70...WW 71...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24045.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 72 TORNADO IN KY 290115Z - 290700Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35N SDF/LOUISVILLE KY/ - 20S BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /36NNW IIU - 15S BWG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
LAT...LON 38688462 36688534 36688750 38688684
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 72 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 72
VALID 290445Z - 290540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW BWG
TO 20 NNE BWG TO 15 WSW LEX.
..SPC..03/29/20
ATTN...WFO...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 72
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC001-003-005-009-021-045-057-061-087-099-123-155-167-169-171-
179-213-217-227-229-239-290540-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON
BARREN BOYLE CASEY
CUMBERLAND EDMONSON GREEN
HART LARUE MARION
MERCER METCALFE MONROE
NELSON SIMPSON TAYLOR
WARREN WASHINGTON WOODFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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