Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 87
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
110 PM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Kentucky
Far southern Ohio
Western Virginia
Southern West Virginia
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 110 PM
until 800 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will
continue to develop and move east-southeastward across the region
this afternoon. Strong deep-layer shear and steep mid-level lapse
rates will support some supercells and other organized clusters
capable of severe hail and locally damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles north
northwest of Lexington KY to 25 miles northeast of Dublin VA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
28025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 87 SEVERE TSTM KY OH VA WV 081710Z - 090000Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30NNW LEX/LEXINGTON KY/ - 25NE PSK/DUBLIN VA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /36S CVG - 24NE PSK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
LAT...LON 39158481 38118036 36668036 37718481
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 87 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 87
VALID 082345Z - 090000Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE TRI TO
45 SSW PSK TO 20 W GSO TO 5 ENE GSO.
WW 87 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 090000Z.
..COOK..04/08/20
ATTN...WFO...JKL...LMK...RLX...ILN...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 87
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC005-009-171-189-193-197-090000-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHANY ASHE SURRY
WATAUGA WILKES YADKIN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 87
VALID 082250Z - 082340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW TRI
TO 40 SW BLF TO 35 SW PSK TO 40 SSE PSK TO 30 WNW DAN TO 25 NW
AVC.
..COOK..04/08/20
ATTN...WFO...JKL...LMK...RLX...ILN...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 87
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC005-009-033-157-169-171-189-193-197-082340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHANY ASHE CASWELL
ROCKINGHAM STOKES SURRY
WATAUGA WILKES YADKIN
$$
VAC035-077-083-089-141-173-640-690-082340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARROLL GRAYSON HALIFAX
HENRY PATRICK SMYTH
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
GALAX MARTINSVILLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 87
VALID 082145Z - 082240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW TRI
TO 45 ESE JKL TO 15 W BLF TO 10 ENE PSK TO 20 WSW LYH.
..COOK..04/08/20
ATTN...WFO...JKL...LMK...RLX...ILN...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 87
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC081-195-082240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GRANT PIKE
$$
NCC005-009-033-157-169-171-189-193-197-082240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHANY ASHE CASWELL
ROCKINGHAM STOKES SURRY
WATAUGA WILKES YADKIN
$$
VAC021-027-035-051-063-067-077-083-089-121-141-143-155-173-185-
197-590-640-690-750-082240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND BUCHANAN CARROLL
DICKENSON FLOYD FRANKLIN
GRAYSON HALIFAX HENRY
MONTGOMERY PATRICK PITTSYLVANIA
PULASKI SMYTH TAZEWELL
WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
DANVILLE GALAX MARTINSVILLE
RADFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 87
VALID 082050Z - 082140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SE JKL TO
25 ENE JKL TO 20 WNW BLF TO 20 ENE BLF TO 10 NW ROA.
..LEITMAN..04/08/20
ATTN...WFO...JKL...LMK...RLX...ILN...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 87
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC071-195-082140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FLOYD PIKE
$$
NCC005-009-033-157-169-171-189-193-197-082140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHANY ASHE CASWELL
ROCKINGHAM STOKES SURRY
WATAUGA WILKES YADKIN
$$
VAC021-027-035-045-051-063-067-071-077-083-089-121-141-143-155-
161-173-185-197-590-640-690-750-770-775-082140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND BUCHANAN CARROLL
CRAIG DICKENSON FLOYD
FRANKLIN GILES GRAYSON
HALIFAX HENRY MONTGOMERY
PATRICK PITTSYLVANIA PULASKI
ROANOKE SMYTH TAZEWELL
WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
DANVILLE GALAX MARTINSVILLE
RADFORD ROANOKE SALEM
$$
WVC047-055-082140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCDOWELL MERCER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 87
VALID 081905Z - 082040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW LEX TO
35 ENE LEX TO 30 SW HTS TO 25 S HTS TO 30 SW CRW TO 20 S CRW TO 5
NNE BKW TO 20 WNW ROA.
..LEITMAN..04/08/20
ATTN...WFO...JKL...LMK...RLX...ILN...RNK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 87
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC017-071-115-153-159-165-173-175-195-209-082040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON FLOYD JOHNSON
MAGOFFIN MARTIN MENIFEE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN PIKE
SCOTT
$$
VAC021-027-035-045-051-063-071-077-121-141-155-161-173-185-197-
640-750-770-775-082040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLAND BUCHANAN CARROLL
CRAIG DICKENSON FLOYD
GILES GRAYSON MONTGOMERY
PATRICK PULASKI ROANOKE
SMYTH TAZEWELL WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
GALAX RADFORD ROANOKE
SALEM
$$
WVC005-045-047-055-059-063-081-089-109-082040-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE LOGAN MCDOWELL
MERCER MINGO MONROE
RALEIGH SUMMERS WYOMING
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.