Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 88
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
240 PM CDT Wed Apr 8 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South-central Alabama
Eastern Mississippi
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 240 PM
until 900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...At least isolated strong-to-severe thunderstorms will
continue to develop and intensify within a corridor from
south-central/eastern Mississippi into south-central Alabama. This
includes the potential for some supercells and organized clusters
capable of large hail and locally damaging winds as storms move
east-southeastward through early evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west northwest
of Meridian MS to 20 miles southeast of Auburn AL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 87...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 88 SEVERE TSTM AL MS 081940Z - 090200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35WNW MEI/MERIDIAN MS/ - 20SE AUO/AUBURN AL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /27WNW MEI - 39S LGC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
LAT...LON 33398931 33278519 31548519 31658931
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 88 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 88
VALID 082255Z - 082340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE MEI
TO 45 WSW SEM TO 15 N MGM TO 10 ENE AUO TO 35 NE CSG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 316
..COOK..04/08/20
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 88
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC005-011-013-025-035-041-047-051-081-085-087-099-101-109-113-
131-082340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBOUR BULLOCK BUTLER
CLARKE CONECUH CRENSHAW
DALLAS ELMORE LEE
LOWNDES MACON MONROE
MONTGOMERY PIKE RUSSELL
WILCOX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 88
VALID 082150Z - 082240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW CBM TO
45 SW TCL TO 30 S TCL TO 40 S BHM TO 35 SSW ANB TO 20 NNE LGC.
..COOK..04/08/20
ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 88
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC001-005-011-013-017-021-023-025-035-037-041-047-051-081-085-
087-091-099-101-105-109-113-123-131-082240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUTAUGA BARBOUR BULLOCK
BUTLER CHAMBERS CHILTON
CHOCTAW CLARKE CONECUH
COOSA CRENSHAW DALLAS
ELMORE LEE LOWNDES
MACON MARENGO MONROE
MONTGOMERY PERRY PIKE
RUSSELL TALLAPOOSA WILCOX
$$
MSC023-061-069-075-099-101-123-129-082240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARKE JASPER KEMPER
LAUDERDALE NESHOBA NEWTON
SCOTT SMITH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.