Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 95
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
205 AM EDT Thu Apr 9 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme northwest North Carolina
Much of western Virginia
A small part of eastern West Virginia
* Effective this Thursday morning from 205 AM until 600 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A well-developed squall line and larger-scale convective
circulation will likely persist for a few more hours while moving
from West Virginia into western Virginia. Given the strong winds
observed near and just above the surface with the storms in West
Virginia, occasional damaging gusts could reach the ground into
Virginia through the early morning hours.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of
Staunton VA to 45 miles southwest of Dublin VA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 92...WW 93...WW 94...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
29045.
...Thompson
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 95
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
205 AM EDT Thu Apr 9 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme northwest North Carolina
Much of western Virginia
A small part of eastern West Virginia
* Effective this Thursday morning from 205 AM until 600 AM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A well-developed squall line and larger-scale convective
circulation will likely persist for a few more hours while moving
from West Virginia into western Virginia. Given the strong winds
observed near and just above the surface with the storms in West
Virginia, occasional damaging gusts could reach the ground into
Virginia through the early morning hours.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of
Staunton VA to 45 miles southwest of Dublin VA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 92...WW 93...WW 94...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
29045.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 95 SEVERE TSTM NC VA WV 090605Z - 091000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NW SHD/STAUNTON VA/ - 45SW PSK/DUBLIN VA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /31ESE EKN - 36SW PSK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29045.
LAT...LON 38727828 36668008 36668243 38728069
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 95 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 95
VALID 090840Z - 090940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S PSK TO
20 WNW LYH TO 30 S SHD TO 40 SSW MRB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 323
..GLEASON..04/09/20
ATTN...WFO...RNK...LWX...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 95
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
VAC003-009-019-047-067-079-113-125-137-141-157-540-090940-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE AMHERST BEDFORD
CULPEPER FRANKLIN GREENE
MADISON NELSON ORANGE
PATRICK RAPPAHANNOCK
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
CHARLOTTESVILLE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 95
VALID 090750Z - 090840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNW TRI
TO 20 WSW PSK TO 15 NE PSK TO 15 ESE SSU TO 40 ENE SSU TO 40 NNW
SHD TO 30 SW MRB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 323
..GLEASON..04/09/20
ATTN...WFO...RNK...LWX...RLX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 95
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC005-009-189-090840-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGHANY ASHE WATAUGA
$$
VAC003-005-009-015-019-023-035-045-047-063-067-077-079-113-121-
125-137-139-141-155-157-161-163-165-171-173-197-530-540-580-640-
660-678-750-770-775-790-820-090840-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE ALLEGHANY AMHERST
AUGUSTA BEDFORD BOTETOURT
CARROLL CRAIG CULPEPER
FLOYD FRANKLIN GRAYSON
GREENE MADISON MONTGOMERY
NELSON ORANGE PAGE
PATRICK PULASKI RAPPAHANNOCK
ROANOKE ROCKBRIDGE ROCKINGHAM
SHENANDOAH SMYTH WYTHE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHARLOTTESVILLE COVINGTON
GALAX HARRISONBURG LEXINGTON
RADFORD ROANOKE SALEM
STAUNTON WAYNESBORO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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