Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
0-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 96
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 PM EDT Thu Apr 9 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Connecticut
District Of Columbia
Delaware
Eastern Maryland
New Jersey
Southern New York
Southeast Pennsylvania
Northeast Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday afternoon from NOON until 400 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Low-topped convection/thunderstorms will quickly develop
and intensify through early afternoon along an eastward-racing cold
front. The strongest convection will be capable of locally damaging
gusts.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles east southeast
of Washington DC to 20 miles northeast of Bridgeport CT. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25045.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 96 SEVERE TSTM CT DC DE MD NJ NY PA VA CW 091600Z - 092000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45ESE DCA/WASHINGTON DC/ - 20NE BDR/BRIDGEPORT CT/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /38WNW SBY - 35SSW BDL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25045.
LAT...LON 38597746 41377411 41377160 38597506
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 96 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 96
VALID 091930Z - 092Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE ISP
TO 5 NNW GON.
..GOSS..04/09/20
ATTN...WFO...OKX...LWX...PHI...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 96
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC011-092040-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NEW LONDON
$$
ANZ330-350-092040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 96
VALID 091810Z - 091Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW SBY
TO 15 WSW ACY TO 10 NNW NEL TO 15 NNW BDR.
..GOSS..04/09/20
ATTN...WFO...OKX...LWX...PHI...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 96
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC001-007-009-011-091940-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAIRFIELD MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN
NEW LONDON
$$
DEC005-091940-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SUSSEX
$$
NJC001-005-009-025-029-091940-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAPE MAY
MONMOUTH OCEAN
$$
NYC059-103-091940-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NASSAU SUFFOLK
$$
ANZ330-335-340-345-350-353-355-431-450-451-452-453-454-455-
091940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.