Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 111
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
600 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Much of Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
* Effective this Sunday evening from 600 PM until 1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop and overspread the
watch area this evening, with the stronger cells producing damaging
wind gusts and large hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles north of Flippin
AR to 35 miles south southeast of El Dorado AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 106...WW 107...WW
108...WW 109...WW 110...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Hart
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 111
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
600 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Much of Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
* Effective this Sunday evening from 600 PM until 1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop and overspread the
watch area this evening, with the stronger cells producing damaging
wind gusts and large hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles north of Flippin
AR to 35 miles south southeast of El Dorado AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 106...WW 107...WW
108...WW 109...WW 110...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 111 SEVERE TSTM AR LA 122300Z - 130400Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15N FLP/FLIPPIN AR/ - 35SSE ELD/EL DORADO AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /70SE SGF - 31SSE ELD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 36419094 32749113 32749405 36419400
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 111 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 111
VALID 130230Z - 130340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE SHV TO
45 W MLU TO 10 N MLU TO 25 NE MLU TO 20 ESE LLQ TO 50 NE PBF TO
15 SSE BVX TO 25 E FLP TO 10 E UNO.
..COOK..04/13/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 111
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC041-049-063-065-067-075-095-121-135-147-130340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DESHA FULTON INDEPENDENCE
IZARD JACKSON LAWRENCE
MONROE RANDOLPH SHARP
WOODRUFF
$$
LAC013-021-049-073-127-130340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE CALDWELL JACKSON
OUACHITA WINN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 111
VALID 130150Z - 130240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE SHV
TO 30 SSE ELD TO 25 SW LLQ TO 5 W PBF TO 10 NE LIT TO 30 SW BVX
TO 25 SE FLP TO 25 WSW UNO.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 370
..COOK..04/13/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 111
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-005-023-041-043-049-063-065-067-069-075-079-085-095-117-
121-135-137-145-147-130240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BAXTER CLEBURNE
DESHA DREW FULTON
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
JEFFERSON LAWRENCE LINCOLN
LONOKE MONROE PRAIRIE
RANDOLPH SHARP STONE
WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
LAC013-015-017-021-027-049-061-073-111-119-127-130240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CLAIBORNE JACKSON
LINCOLN OUACHITA UNION
WEBSTER WINN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 111
VALID 130045Z - 130140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW TXK
TO 25 E TXK TO 45 S HOT TO HOT TO 15 ESE RUE TO 30 N RUE TO 5 NE
HRO TO 35 N HRO.
..COOK..04/13/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 111
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-005-011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-041-043-045-049-051-
053-059-063-065-067-069-073-075-079-085-089-095-103-117-119-121-
125-129-135-137-139-141-145-147-130140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BAXTER BRADLEY
CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY
DALLAS DESHA DREW
FAULKNER FULTON GARLAND
GRANT HOT SPRING INDEPENDENCE
IZARD JACKSON JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE LINCOLN
LONOKE MARION MONROE
OUACHITA PRAIRIE PULASKI
RANDOLPH SALINE SEARCY
SHARP STONE UNION
VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
LAC015-017-027-061-111-119-130140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO CLAIBORNE
LINCOLN UNION WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 111
VALID 122335Z - 130040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 367
..COOK..04/12/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 111
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-005-009-011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-041-043-045-049-
051-053-057-059-061-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-079-083-085-089-
095-097-099-101-103-105-109-113-115-117-119-121-125-127-129-135-
137-139-141-145-147-149-130040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BAXTER BOONE
BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY DALLAS DESHA
DREW FAULKNER FULTON
GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD
HOT SPRING HOWARD INDEPENDENCE
IZARD JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE
LINCOLN LOGAN LONOKE
MARION MONROE MONTGOMERY
NEVADA NEWTON OUACHITA
PERRY PIKE POLK
POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI
RANDOLPH SALINE SCOTT
SEARCY SHARP STONE
UNION VAN BUREN WHITE
WOODRUFF YELL
$$
LAC015-017-027-061-111-119-130040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO CLAIBORNE
LINCOLN UNION WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 111
VALID 122330Z - 130040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 111
..COOK..04/12/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 111
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-005-009-011-013-019-023-025-027-029-039-041-043-045-049-
051-053-057-059-061-063-065-067-069-071-073-075-079-083-085-089-
095-097-099-101-103-105-109-113-115-117-119-121-125-127-129-135-
137-139-141-145-147-149-130040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS BAXTER BOONE
BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK
CLEBURNE CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
CONWAY DALLAS DESHA
DREW FAULKNER FULTON
GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD
HOT SPRING HOWARD INDEPENDENCE
IZARD JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE
LINCOLN LOGAN LONOKE
MARION MONROE MONTGOMERY
NEVADA NEWTON OUACHITA
PERRY PIKE POLK
POPE PRAIRIE PULASKI
RANDOLPH SALINE SCOTT
SEARCY SHARP STONE
UNION VAN BUREN WHITE
WOODRUFF YELL
$$
LAC015-017-027-061-111-119-130040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO CLAIBORNE
LINCOLN UNION WEBSTER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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