Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 114
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
820 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Arkansas
Northeast Louisiana
Missouri Bootheel
Northwest Mississippi
Western Tennessee
* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 820 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A fast-moving line of thunderstorms over Arkansas will
track across the watch area this evening, posing a risk of damaging
wind gusts and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles northwest of
Dyersburg TN to 45 miles south of Greenville MS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 109...WW 110...WW
111...WW 112...WW 113...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Hart
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 114
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
820 PM CDT Sun Apr 12 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Arkansas
Northeast Louisiana
Missouri Bootheel
Northwest Mississippi
Western Tennessee
* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 820 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A fast-moving line of thunderstorms over Arkansas will
track across the watch area this evening, posing a risk of damaging
wind gusts and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles northwest of
Dyersburg TN to 45 miles south of Greenville MS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 109...WW 110...WW
111...WW 112...WW 113...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 114 SEVERE TSTM AR LA MO MS TN 130120Z - 130600Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NW DYR/DYERSBURG TN/ - 45S GLH/GREENVILLE MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /37NW DYR - 50WNW MHZ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 36408892 32829003 32829193 36409090
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 114 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 114
VALID 130425Z - 130540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SW MKL TO
25 SSW POF.
..GOSS..04/13/20
ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 114
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-130540-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY
$$
MSC003-057-117-141-130540-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ITAWAMBA PRENTISS
TISHOMINGO
$$
MOC069-155-130540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
$$
TNC005-017-023-033-039-045-053-069-071-075-077-079-095-097-109-
113-131-183-130540-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
CROCKETT DECATUR DYER
GIBSON HARDEMAN HARDIN
HAYWOOD HENDERSON HENRY
LAKE LAUDERDALE MCNAIRY
MADISON OBION WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 114
VALID 130325Z - 130440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 E MLU TO
40 SSE GLH TO 10 WSW GWO TO 35 SW UOX TO 35 S MEM TO 25 WSW MEM
TO 25 ESE BVX.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 372
..COOK..04/13/20
ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 114
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-031-035-037-055-093-111-130440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
CROSS GREENE MISSISSIPPI
POINSETT
$$
LAC035-123-130440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST CARROLL WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC003-009-013-015-017-033-043-051-053-055-057-071-081-093-095-
107-115-117-125-137-139-141-145-161-163-130440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON CALHOUN
CARROLL CHICKASAW DESOTO
GRENADA HOLMES HUMPHREYS
ISSAQUENA ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE
LEE MARSHALL MONROE
PANOLA PONTOTOC PRENTISS
SHARKEY TATE TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION YALOBUSHA
YAZOO
$$
MOC069-155-130440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
$$
TNC005-017-023-033-039-045-047-053-069-071-075-077-079-095-097-
109-113-131-157-167-183-130440-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
CROCKETT DECATUR DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY LAKE LAUDERDALE
MCNAIRY MADISON OBION
SHELBY TIPTON WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 114
VALID 130230Z - 130340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..04/13/20
ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 114
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-021-031-035-037-055-077-093-107-111-123-130340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT CLAY
CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS
GREENE LEE MISSISSIPPI
PHILLIPS POINSETT ST. FRANCIS
$$
LAC035-067-123-130340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST CARROLL MOREHOUSE WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC011-015-027-033-043-051-053-055-071-083-093-107-119-125-133-
135-137-143-151-161-163-130340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLIVAR CARROLL COAHOMA
DESOTO GRENADA HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA LAFAYETTE
LEFLORE MARSHALL PANOLA
QUITMAN SHARKEY SUNFLOWER
TALLAHATCHIE TATE TUNICA
WASHINGTON YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
MOC069-155-130340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
$$
TNC033-045-047-075-095-097-157-167-130340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT DYER FAYETTE
HAYWOOD LAKE LAUDERDALE
SHELBY TIPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 114
VALID 130150Z - 130240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..COOK..04/13/20
ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 114
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-021-031-035-037-055-077-093-107-111-123-130240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT CLAY
CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS
GREENE LEE MISSISSIPPI
PHILLIPS POINSETT ST. FRANCIS
$$
LAC035-067-123-130240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST CARROLL MOREHOUSE WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC011-015-027-033-043-051-053-055-071-083-093-107-119-125-133-
135-137-143-151-161-163-130240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLIVAR CARROLL COAHOMA
DESOTO GRENADA HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA LAFAYETTE
LEFLORE MARSHALL PANOLA
QUITMAN SHARKEY SUNFLOWER
TALLAHATCHIE TATE TUNICA
WASHINGTON YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
MOC069-155-130240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN PEMISCOT
$$
TNC033-045-047-075-095-097-157-167-130240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT DYER FAYETTE
HAYWOOD LAKE LAUDERDALE
SHELBY TIPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.