Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 124
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
935 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Alabama
Florida Panhandle
Southeast Louisiana
Southeast Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 935 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of storms including bowing segments and a few
semi-discrete supercells will cross the region late this evening
into the overnight. Damaging winds will be the most common severe
risk, but a few tornadoes could occur, potentially including a
strong/intense tornado risk given the increasing low-level
shear/SRH.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles north northeast of Crestview
FL to 35 miles west northwest of Houma LA. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 122...WW 123...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 26040.
...Guyer
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 124
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
935 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Alabama
Florida Panhandle
Southeast Louisiana
Southeast Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 935 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of storms including bowing segments and a few
semi-discrete supercells will cross the region late this evening
into the overnight. Damaging winds will be the most common severe
risk, but a few tornadoes could occur, potentially including a
strong/intense tornado risk given the increasing low-level
shear/SRH.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles north northeast of Crestview
FL to 35 miles west northwest of Houma LA. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 122...WW 123...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 26040.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 124 TORNADO AL FL LA MS CW 200235Z - 200900Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35NNE CEW/CRESTVIEW FL/ - 35WNW HUM/HOUMA LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /32NE CEW - 43S BTR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.
LAT...LON 30318629 28829121 30709121 32188629
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 124 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 124
VALID 200730Z - 200840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE PNS
TO 25 ESE CEW.
..LEITMAN..04/20/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 124
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
GMZ635-636-655-200840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 124
VALID 200620Z - 200740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE BVE
TO 55 SSE MOB TO 20 W PNS TO 10 SSE CEW TO 25 E CEW.
..LEITMAN..04/20/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 124
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC033-091-113-200740-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
GMZ555-633-634-635-636-650-655-200740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
EASTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.