Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 127
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
700 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and northern Florida
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Monday morning and afternoon from 700 AM until
300 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A band of strong-severe thunderstorms should move eastward
off the Gulf and across the watch area into the afternoon, with some
backbuilding expected. While a tornado cannot be ruled out, the
main hazard should be damaging gusts. Isolated large hail also is
possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles either side of a line from 15 miles north northeast of
Ocala FL to 20 miles west southwest of Avon Park FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 125...WW 126...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26040.
...Edwards
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 127
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
700 AM EDT Mon Apr 20 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and northern Florida
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Monday morning and afternoon from 700 AM until
300 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A band of strong-severe thunderstorms should move eastward
off the Gulf and across the watch area into the afternoon, with some
backbuilding expected. While a tornado cannot be ruled out, the
main hazard should be damaging gusts. Isolated large hail also is
possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles either side of a line from 15 miles north northeast of
Ocala FL to 20 miles west southwest of Avon Park FL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 125...WW 126...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26040.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 127 SEVERE TSTM FL CW 201100Z - 201900Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
15NNE OCF/OCALA FL/ - 20WSW AGR/AVON PARK FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM EITHER SIDE /50ESE CTY - 50E SRQ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26040.
LAT...LON 29658092 27828044 27258281 29088332
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 127 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 127
VALID 201830Z - 201900Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W SRQ TO
30 W AGR TO 30 S ORL TO 35 ENE MLB.
WW 127 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 201900Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 421
..GLEASON..04/20/20
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 127
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC009-049-081-097-105-115-201900-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD HARDEE MANATEE
OSCEOLA POLK SARASOTA
$$
AMZ552-GMZ853-201900-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 127
VALID 201745Z - 201840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SW PIE TO
20 NNE SRQ TO 45 ENE PIE TO 35 ENE MLB.
..GLEASON..04/20/20
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 127
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC009-049-057-081-097-105-115-201840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD HARDEE HILLSBOROUGH
MANATEE OSCEOLA POLK
SARASOTA
$$
AMZ552-GMZ853-201840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 127
VALID 201640Z - 201740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW PIE
TO 40 WSW ORL TO 25 NNW MLB TO 25 SSE DAB TO 40 E DAB.
..GLEASON..04/20/20
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 127
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC009-049-057-081-097-103-105-115-201740-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD HARDEE HILLSBOROUGH
MANATEE OSCEOLA PINELLAS
POLK SARASOTA
$$
AMZ550-552-GMZ830-853-201740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 127
VALID 201555Z - 201640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W PIE TO
30 NNE PIE TO 35 E DAB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 420
..GLEASON..04/20/20
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 127
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC009-049-057-069-081-095-097-101-103-105-115-117-119-127-
201640-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD HARDEE HILLSBOROUGH
LAKE MANATEE ORANGE
OSCEOLA PASCO PINELLAS
POLK SARASOTA SEMINOLE
SUMTER VOLUSIA
$$
AMZ550-552-GMZ830-853-201640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 127
VALID 201440Z - 201540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NW PIE TO
20 S OCF TO 35 E OCF TO 25 NNW DAB TO 35 NE DAB.
..GLEASON..04/20/20
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 127
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC009-017-049-053-057-069-081-095-097-101-103-105-115-117-119-
127-201540-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD CITRUS HARDEE
HERNANDO HILLSBOROUGH LAKE
MANATEE ORANGE OSCEOLA
PASCO PINELLAS POLK
SARASOTA SEMINOLE SUMTER
VOLUSIA
$$
AMZ550-552-GMZ830-850-853-201540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 127
VALID 201350Z - 201440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW CTY
TO 10 NNW OCF TO 20 ESE GNV.
..GLEASON..04/20/20
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 127
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC009-017-049-053-057-069-075-081-095-097-101-103-105-115-117-
119-127-201440-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD CITRUS HARDEE
HERNANDO HILLSBOROUGH LAKE
LEVY MANATEE ORANGE
OSCEOLA PASCO PINELLAS
POLK SARASOTA SEMINOLE
SUMTER VOLUSIA
$$
AMZ550-552-GMZ830-850-853-201440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 127
VALID 201230Z - 201340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 419.
..LEITMAN..04/20/20
ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 127
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC009-017-049-053-057-069-075-081-095-097-101-103-105-115-117-
119-127-201340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BREVARD CITRUS HARDEE
HERNANDO HILLSBOROUGH LAKE
LEVY MANATEE ORANGE
OSCEOLA PASCO PINELLAS
POLK SARASOTA SEMINOLE
SUMTER VOLUSIA
$$
AMZ550-552-GMZ830-850-853-201340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM
VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM
TAMPA BAY WATERS
COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.