Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 131
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
145 AM CDT Wed Apr 22 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme southwestern Arkansas
South-central and southeastern Oklahoma
Extreme north-central/northeast Texas
* Effective this Wednesday morning from 145 AM until 600 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A broken band of thunderstorms, including a couple of
supercells, will continue to pose a risk of severe hail while moving
east-southeastward into the Red River region for a few more hours,
while isolated severe hail from a separate convective cluster also
may effect parts of extreme southwestern Arkansas.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 30
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west of
Ardmore OK to 25 miles north of Texarkana AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 130...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29035.
...Edwards
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 131
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
145 AM CDT Wed Apr 22 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Extreme southwestern Arkansas
South-central and southeastern Oklahoma
Extreme north-central/northeast Texas
* Effective this Wednesday morning from 145 AM until 600 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A broken band of thunderstorms, including a couple of
supercells, will continue to pose a risk of severe hail while moving
east-southeastward into the Red River region for a few more hours,
while isolated severe hail from a separate convective cluster also
may effect parts of extreme southwestern Arkansas.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 30
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles west of
Ardmore OK to 25 miles north of Texarkana AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 130...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29035.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 131 SEVERE TSTM AR OK TX 220645Z - 221100Z
AXIS..30 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30W ADM/ARDMORE OK/ - 25N TXK/TEXARKANA AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 25NM N/S /19WNW ADM - 18N TXK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
LAT...LON 34729755 34259400 33389400 33849755
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 131 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 131
VALID 221025Z - 221100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE PRX
TO 25 SSW DEQ TO 15 ESE DEQ TO 40 SW HOT.
WW 131 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 221100Z.
..LEITMAN..04/22/20
ATTN...WFO...SHV...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 131
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC061-081-221100-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOWARD LITTLE RIVER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 131
VALID 220935Z - 221040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W PRX TO
30 NE PRX TO 10 NW DEQ TO 35 SW HOT.
..LEITMAN..04/22/20
ATTN...WFO...SHV...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 131
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC061-081-133-221040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOWARD LITTLE RIVER SEVIER
$$
OKC089-221040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC277-387-221040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LAMAR RED RIVER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 131
VALID 220840Z - 220940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 E GYI TO
25 SSW MLC.
..LEITMAN..04/22/20
ATTN...WFO...SHV...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 131
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC061-081-133-220940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOWARD LITTLE RIVER SEVIER
$$
OKC005-013-023-089-127-220940-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CHOCTAW
MCCURTAIN PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC147-277-387-220940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FANNIN LAMAR RED RIVER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 131
VALID 220735Z - 220840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SW ADM TO
35 NNE ADM.
..LEITMAN..04/22/20
ATTN...WFO...SHV...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 131
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC061-081-133-220840-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOWARD LITTLE RIVER SEVIER
$$
OKC005-013-019-023-069-085-089-095-099-127-220840-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CARTER
CHOCTAW JOHNSTON LOVE
MCCURTAIN MARSHALL MURRAY
PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC147-277-387-220840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FANNIN LAMAR RED RIVER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.