Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 154
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
820 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwestern Arkansas
Northwestern Louisiana
Extreme southeastern Oklahoma
North-central, central and east Texas
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 820 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A band of severe thunderstorms initially over Oklahoma
should organize further and surge southeastward to southward across
the watch area this evening into tonight. Severe downdraft winds
will be a distinct hazard, with isolated gusts near hurricane force
possible. A few storms also may produce large, damaging hail in
parts of north Texas. A line-embedded tornado or two cannot be
ruled out as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles either side of a line from 55 miles southwest of
Stephenville TX to 45 miles east southeast of Texarkana AR. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 150...WW 151...WW
152...WW 153...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Edwards
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 154
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
820 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwestern Arkansas
Northwestern Louisiana
Extreme southeastern Oklahoma
North-central, central and east Texas
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 820 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A band of severe thunderstorms initially over Oklahoma
should organize further and surge southeastward to southward across
the watch area this evening into tonight. Severe downdraft winds
will be a distinct hazard, with isolated gusts near hurricane force
possible. A few storms also may produce large, damaging hail in
parts of north Texas. A line-embedded tornado or two cannot be
ruled out as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 105
statute miles either side of a line from 55 miles southwest of
Stephenville TX to 45 miles east southeast of Texarkana AR. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 150...WW 151...WW
152...WW 153...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 154 SEVERE TSTM AR LA OK TX 290120Z - 290900Z
AXIS..105 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
55SW SEP/STEPHENVILLE TX/ - 45ESE TXK/TEXARKANA AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 90NM EITHER SIDE /72SE ABI - 27W ELD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 33119935 34669380 31749278 30209835
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 154 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 154
VALID 290750Z - 290840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N BWD TO
30 NNW ACT TO 30 SE CRS TO 30 NNW LFK TO 40 S SHV TO 40 NNE IER.
..BROYLES..04/29/20
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC085-290840-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
SABINE
$$
TXC005-027-035-041-051-093-099-145-161-185-193-225-281-289-293-
309-313-331-333-395-403-405-455-471-477-290840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA BELL BOSQUE
BRAZOS BURLESON COMANCHE
CORYELL FALLS FREESTONE
GRIMES HAMILTON HOUSTON
LAMPASAS LEON LIMESTONE
MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM
MILLS ROBERTSON SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE TRINITY WALKER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 154
VALID 290630Z - 290740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW ABI
TO 25 NNW CRS TO 25 NNE GGG TO 20 WSW ELD.
..BROYLES..04/29/20
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC013-015-017-027-031-081-085-119-290740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CLAIBORNE DE SOTO RED RIVER
SABINE WEBSTER
$$
TXC001-005-027-035-041-051-073-093-099-133-139-143-145-161-183-
185-193-203-213-217-221-225-251-281-289-293-309-313-331-333-347-
349-365-395-401-403-405-419-423-425-455-471-477-290740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BOSQUE BRAZOS BURLESON
CHEROKEE COMANCHE CORYELL
EASTLAND ELLIS ERATH
FALLS FREESTONE GREGG
GRIMES HAMILTON HARRISON
HENDERSON HILL HOOD
HOUSTON JOHNSON LAMPASAS
LEON LIMESTONE MCLENNAN
MADISON MILAM MILLS
NACOGDOCHES NAVARRO PANOLA
ROBERTSON RUSK SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY SMITH
SOMERVELL TRINITY WALKER
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 154
VALID 290550Z - 290640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E ABI TO
20 WSW FTW TO 20 S DAL TO 40 SSE PRX TO 20 SSW TXK TO 30 NW ELD.
..BROYLES..04/29/20
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-073-139-290640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA LAFAYETTE UNION
$$
LAC013-015-017-027-031-081-085-119-290640-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CLAIBORNE DE SOTO RED RIVER
SABINE WEBSTER
$$
TXC001-005-027-035-041-051-063-067-073-093-099-133-139-143-145-
161-183-185-193-203-213-217-221-225-251-257-281-289-293-309-313-
315-331-333-343-347-349-365-395-401-403-405-419-423-425-455-459-
467-471-477-499-290640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BOSQUE BRAZOS BURLESON
CAMP CASS CHEROKEE
COMANCHE CORYELL EASTLAND
ELLIS ERATH FALLS
FREESTONE GREGG GRIMES
HAMILTON HARRISON HENDERSON
HILL HOOD HOUSTON
JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMPASAS
LEON LIMESTONE MCLENNAN
MADISON MARION MILAM
MILLS MORRIS NACOGDOCHES
NAVARRO PANOLA ROBERTSON
RUSK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SHELBY SMITH SOMERVELL
TRINITY UPSHUR VAN ZANDT
WALKER WASHINGTON WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 154
VALID 290435Z - 290540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E ABI TO
10 NW FTW TO 30 NNW DAL TO 20 W PRX TO 35 ENE PRX TO 45 SW HOT.
..DIAL..04/29/20
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-057-073-081-091-099-139-290540-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA HEMPSTEAD LAFAYETTE
LITTLE RIVER MILLER NEVADA
UNION
$$
LAC013-015-017-027-031-081-085-119-290540-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CLAIBORNE DE SOTO RED RIVER
SABINE WEBSTER
$$
TXC001-005-027-035-037-041-051-063-067-073-085-093-099-113-119-
121-133-139-143-145-159-161-183-185-193-203-213-217-221-223-225-
231-251-257-281-289-293-309-313-315-331-333-343-347-349-365-367-
379-387-395-397-401-403-405-419-423-425-439-449-455-459-467-471-
477-499-290540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BOSQUE BOWIE BRAZOS
BURLESON CAMP CASS
CHEROKEE COLLIN COMANCHE
CORYELL DALLAS DELTA
DENTON EASTLAND ELLIS
ERATH FALLS FRANKLIN
FREESTONE GREGG GRIMES
HAMILTON HARRISON HENDERSON
HILL HOOD HOPKINS
HOUSTON HUNT JOHNSON
KAUFMAN LAMPASAS LEON
LIMESTONE MCLENNAN MADISON
MARION MILAM MILLS
MORRIS NACOGDOCHES NAVARRO
PANOLA PARKER RAINS
RED RIVER ROBERTSON ROCKWALL
RUSK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SHELBY SMITH SOMERVELL
TARRANT TITUS TRINITY
UPSHUR VAN ZANDT WALKER
WASHINGTON WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 154
VALID 290335Z - 290440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E ABI TO
40 WNW MWL TO 35 N MWL TO 50 SE SPS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 497
..DIAL..04/29/20
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-057-061-073-081-091-099-133-139-290440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA HEMPSTEAD HOWARD
LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER MILLER
NEVADA SEVIER UNION
$$
LAC013-015-017-027-031-081-085-119-290440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CLAIBORNE DE SOTO RED RIVER
SABINE WEBSTER
$$
OKC089-290440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC001-005-027-035-037-041-051-063-067-073-085-093-097-099-113-
119-121-133-139-143-145-147-159-161-181-183-185-193-203-213-217-
221-223-225-231-237-251-257-277-281-289-293-309-313-315-331-333-
337-343-347-349-363-365-367-379-387-395-397-401-403-405-419-423-
425-429-439-449-455-459-467-471-477-497-499-290440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BOSQUE BOWIE BRAZOS
BURLESON CAMP CASS
CHEROKEE COLLIN COMANCHE
COOKE CORYELL DALLAS
DELTA DENTON EASTLAND
ELLIS ERATH FALLS
FANNIN FRANKLIN FREESTONE
GRAYSON GREGG GRIMES
HAMILTON HARRISON HENDERSON
HILL HOOD HOPKINS
HOUSTON HUNT JACK
JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMAR
LAMPASAS LEON LIMESTONE
MCLENNAN MADISON MARION
MILAM MILLS MONTAGUE
MORRIS NACOGDOCHES NAVARRO
PALO PINTO PANOLA PARKER
RAINS RED RIVER ROBERTSON
ROCKWALL RUSK SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY SMITH
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
TITUS TRINITY UPSHUR
VAN ZANDT WALKER WASHINGTON
WISE WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 154
VALID 290235Z - 290340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DIAL..04/29/20
ATTN...WFO...SHV...FWD...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 154
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-057-061-073-081-091-099-133-139-290340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA HEMPSTEAD HOWARD
LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER MILLER
NEVADA SEVIER UNION
$$
LAC013-015-017-027-031-081-085-119-290340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CLAIBORNE DE SOTO RED RIVER
SABINE WEBSTER
$$
OKC089-290340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC001-005-027-035-037-041-051-063-067-073-085-093-097-099-113-
119-121-133-139-143-145-147-159-161-181-183-185-193-203-213-217-
221-223-225-231-237-251-257-277-281-289-293-309-313-315-331-333-
337-343-347-349-363-365-367-379-387-395-397-401-403-405-419-423-
425-429-439-449-455-459-467-471-477-497-499-503-290340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BOSQUE BOWIE BRAZOS
BURLESON CAMP CASS
CHEROKEE COLLIN COMANCHE
COOKE CORYELL DALLAS
DELTA DENTON EASTLAND
ELLIS ERATH FALLS
FANNIN FRANKLIN FREESTONE
GRAYSON GREGG GRIMES
HAMILTON HARRISON HENDERSON
HILL HOOD HOPKINS
HOUSTON HUNT JACK
JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMAR
LAMPASAS LEON LIMESTONE
MCLENNAN MADISON MARION
MILAM MILLS MONTAGUE
MORRIS NACOGDOCHES NAVARRO
PALO PINTO PANOLA PARKER
RAINS RED RIVER ROBERTSON
ROCKWALL RUSK SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY SMITH
SOMERVELL STEPHENS TARRANT
TITUS TRINITY UPSHUR
VAN ZANDT WALKER WASHINGTON
WISE WOOD YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (90%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
High (70%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.