Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 157
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
835 AM CDT Sun May 3 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Kansas
Southern Missouri
* Effective this Sunday morning and afternoon from 835 AM until
400 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A cluster of severe thunderstorms over southeast Kansas
will track quickly eastward across the watch area today. The
strongest cells will be capable of damaging winds and large hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north
northwest of Joplin MO to 50 miles northeast of West Plains MO. For
a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 157 SEVERE TSTM KS MO 031335Z - 032100Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20NNW JLN/JOPLIN MO/ - 50NE UNO/WEST PLAINS MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /31ENE OSW - 54WSW FAM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 38219464 38069123 36469123 36629464
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 157 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 157
VALID 031850Z - 031940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW ARG TO
35 ESE UNO.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WATCH COULD BE CANCELLED EARLY.
..KERR..05/03/20
ATTN...WFO...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 157
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC149-031940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
OREGON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 157
VALID 031800Z - 031940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW UNO TO
30 E UNO TO 50 WSW FAM.
..KERR..05/03/20
ATTN...WFO...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 157
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC149-031940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
OREGON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 157
VALID 031720Z - 031840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NE HRO TO
20 NNW UNO TO VIH.
..KERR..05/03/20
ATTN...WFO...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 157
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC065-091-149-153-161-203-031840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DENT HOWELL OREGON
OZARK PHELPS SHANNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 157
VALID 031635Z - 031740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE GMJ
TO 20 SSE UMN TO 30 SSE SGF TO 35 E SGF TO 45 NW TBN.
..KERR..05/03/20
ATTN...WFO...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 157
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC009-065-067-091-105-119-125-131-145-149-153-161-169-203-209-
213-215-229-031740-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY DENT DOUGLAS
HOWELL LACLEDE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER NEWTON
OREGON OZARK PHELPS
PULASKI SHANNON STONE
TANEY TEXAS WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 157
VALID 031540Z - 031640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 E GMJ TO
25 N UMN TO 40 S SZL.
..KERR..05/03/20
ATTN...WFO...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 157
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC009-015-029-043-059-065-067-077-085-091-105-109-119-125-131-
141-145-149-153-161-167-169-203-209-213-215-225-229-031640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BENTON CAMDEN
CHRISTIAN DALLAS DENT
DOUGLAS GREENE HICKORY
HOWELL LACLEDE LAWRENCE
MCDONALD MARIES MILLER
MORGAN NEWTON OREGON
OZARK PHELPS POLK
PULASKI SHANNON STONE
TANEY TEXAS WEBSTER
WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 157
VALID 031500Z - 031640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 W JLN TO
25 NNE JLN TO 40 SSW SZL.
..KERR..05/03/20
ATTN...WFO...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 157
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MOC009-015-029-039-043-057-059-065-067-077-085-091-097-105-109-
119-125-131-141-145-149-153-161-167-169-185-203-209-213-215-225-
229-031640-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BENTON CAMDEN
CEDAR CHRISTIAN DADE
DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS
GREENE HICKORY HOWELL
JASPER LACLEDE LAWRENCE
MCDONALD MARIES MILLER
MORGAN NEWTON OREGON
OZARK PHELPS POLK
PULASKI ST. CLAIR SHANNON
STONE TANEY TEXAS
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
