Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 158
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 AM CDT Sun May 3 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Arkansas
Extreme Southern Illinois
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
West Tennessee
* Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1145 AM until
600 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A fast-moving line of severe thunderstorms over southern
Missouri will track eastward across the watch area this afternoon,
posing a risk of damaging wind gusts and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles southwest of
West Plains MO to 20 miles southeast of Clarksville TN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 157...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27045.
...Hart
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 158
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1145 AM CDT Sun May 3 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast Arkansas
Extreme Southern Illinois
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
West Tennessee
* Effective this Sunday morning and evening from 1145 AM until
600 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A fast-moving line of severe thunderstorms over southern
Missouri will track eastward across the watch area this afternoon,
posing a risk of damaging wind gusts and hail.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles southwest of
West Plains MO to 20 miles southeast of Clarksville TN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 157...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27045.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 158 SEVERE TSTM AR IL KY MO TN 031645Z - 032300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20SW UNO/WEST PLAINS MO/ - 20SE CKV/CLARKSVILLE TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /63WNW ARG - 28NW BNA/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27045.
LAT...LON 37419212 37278717 35548717 35689212
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 158 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 158
VALID 032135Z - 032240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 N MSL TO
5 E HOP TO 20 ENE CKV.
..SQUITIERI..05/03/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LSX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 158
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC219-032240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
TODD
$$
TNC023-043-047-069-071-075-081-097-109-125-157-167-032240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER DICKSON FAYETTE
HARDEMAN HARDIN HAYWOOD
HICKMAN LAUDERDALE MCNAIRY
MONTGOMERY SHELBY TIPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 158
VALID 032100Z - 032240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW DYR
TO 20 NE MKL TO 55 NE MKL TO 40 W HOP TO 35 S OWB.
..KERR..05/03/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LSX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 158
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC035-047-177-219-221-032240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG
$$
TNC005-017-023-033-039-043-047-069-071-075-077-079-081-083-085-
109-113-125-135-157-161-167-032240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
CROCKETT DECATUR DICKSON
FAYETTE HARDEMAN HARDIN
HAYWOOD HENDERSON HENRY
HICKMAN HOUSTON HUMPHREYS
MCNAIRY MADISON MONTGOMERY
PERRY SHELBY STEWART
TIPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 158
VALID 032020Z - 032140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE JBR
TO 5 E DYR TO 40 NE DYR TO 20 SW PAH TO 30 ENE PAH.
..KERR..05/03/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LSX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 158
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC093-032140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI
$$
KYC033-035-039-047-055-083-105-107-139-143-145-157-177-219-221-
032140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE
CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN GRAVES
HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON
LYON MCCRACKEN MARSHALL
MUHLENBERG TODD TRIGG
$$
TNC005-017-023-033-039-043-047-053-069-071-075-077-079-081-083-
085-097-109-113-125-135-157-161-167-183-032140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
CROCKETT DECATUR DICKSON
FAYETTE GIBSON HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAUDERDALE MCNAIRY
MADISON MONTGOMERY PERRY
SHELBY STEWART TIPTON
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 158
VALID 031930Z - 032040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW JBR
TO 5 SSW ARG TO 35 SSE POF TO 40 ESE POF TO 25 WNW CGI.
..KERR..05/03/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LSX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 158
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-031-055-093-111-032040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRAIGHEAD GREENE
MISSISSIPPI POINSETT
$$
ILC003-069-087-127-151-153-181-032040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER HARDIN JOHNSON
MASSAC POPE PULASKI
UNION
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-157-177-
219-221-032040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG
$$
MOC069-133-143-155-201-032040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT SCOTT
$$
TNC005-017-033-039-043-045-053-075-077-079-081-083-085-095-097-
113-125-131-135-161-167-183-032040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CROCKETT
DECATUR DICKSON DYER
GIBSON HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAKE LAUDERDALE
MADISON MONTGOMERY OBION
PERRY STEWART TIPTON
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 158
VALID 031855Z - 031940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E FLP TO
30 N BVX TO 40 WSW POF TO 25 WNW POF TO 30 SW FAM.
..KERR..05/03/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LSX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 158
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-031-055-063-065-067-075-093-111-121-135-031940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRAIGHEAD GREENE
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
LAWRENCE MISSISSIPPI POINSETT
RANDOLPH SHARP
$$
ILC003-069-087-127-151-153-181-031940-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER HARDIN JOHNSON
MASSAC POPE PULASKI
UNION
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-157-177-
219-221-031940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG
$$
MOC017-023-031-069-093-123-133-143-155-181-201-207-223-031940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
DUNKLIN IRON MADISON
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID PEMISCOT
RIPLEY SCOTT STODDARD
WAYNE
$$
TNC005-017-033-039-043-045-053-075-077-079-081-083-085-095-097-
113-125-131-135-161-167-183-031940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CROCKETT
DECATUR DICKSON DYER
GIBSON HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAKE LAUDERDALE
MADISON MONTGOMERY OBION
PERRY STEWART TIPTON
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 158
VALID 031800Z - 031940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..05/03/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LSX...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 158
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-021-031-049-055-063-065-067-075-093-111-121-135-137-
031940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER CLAY CRAIGHEAD
FULTON GREENE INDEPENDENCE
IZARD JACKSON LAWRENCE
MISSISSIPPI POINSETT RANDOLPH
SHARP STONE
$$
ILC003-069-087-127-151-153-181-031940-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER HARDIN JOHNSON
MASSAC POPE PULASKI
UNION
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-157-177-
219-221-031940-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-069-093-123-133-143-155-179-181-201-207-223-
031940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER DUNKLIN IRON
MADISON MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT REYNOLDS RIPLEY
SCOTT STODDARD WAYNE
$$
TNC005-017-033-039-043-045-053-075-077-079-081-083-085-095-097-
113-125-131-135-161-167-183-031940-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CROCKETT
DECATUR DICKSON DYER
GIBSON HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAKE LAUDERDALE
MADISON MONTGOMERY OBION
PERRY STEWART TIPTON
WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.